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Surrogate models of numerical relativity simulations of merging black holes provide the most accurate tools for gravitational-wave data analysis. Neural network-based surrogates promise evaluation speedups, but their accuracy relies on…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-05-21 Lucy M. Thomas , Katerina Chatziioannou , Vijay Varma , Scott E. Field

High-Performance Computing (HPC) schedulers must balance user performance with facility-wide resource constraints. The task boils down to selecting the optimal number of nodes for a given job. We present a surrogate-assisted multi-objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Ashna Nawar Ahmed , Banooqa Banday , Terry Jones , Tanzima Z. Islam

The `spotoptim` package implements surrogate-model-based optimization of expensive black-box functions in Python. Building on two decades of Sequential Parameter Optimization (SPO) methodology, it provides a Kriging-based optimization loop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

This paper presents an adaptive sampling algorithm tailored for the optimization of parametrized dynamical systems using projection-based model order reduction. Unlike classical sampling strategies, this framework does not aim for a small…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Marcel Warzecha , Sebastian Resch-Schopper , Gerhard Müller

A cumbersome operation in numerical analysis and linear algebra, optimization, machine learning and engineering algorithms; is inverting large full-rank matrices which appears in various processes and applications. This has both numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Neophytos Charalambides , Mert Pilanci , Alfred O. Hero

Surrogate algorithms such as Bayesian optimisation are especially designed for black-box optimisation problems with expensive objectives, such as hyperparameter tuning or simulation-based optimisation. In the literature, these algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Laurens Bliek , Arthur Guijt , Rickard Karlsson , Sicco Verwer , Mathijs de Weerdt

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

Surrogate Optimization (SO) algorithms have shown promise for optimizing expensive black-box functions. However, their performance is heavily influenced by hyperparameters related to sampling and surrogate fitting, which poses a challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Nazanin Nezami , Hadis Anahideh

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Heuristic optimisation algorithms explore the search space by sampling solutions, evaluating their fitness, and biasing the search in the direction of promising solutions. However, in many cases, this fitness function involves executing…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Pablo S. Naharro , Pablo Toharia , Antonio LaTorre , José-María Peña

This work introduces StoMADS, a stochastic variant of the mesh adaptive direct-search (MADS) algorithm originally developed for deterministic blackbox optimization. StoMADS considers the unconstrained optimization of an objective function f…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Charles Audet , Kwassi Joseph Dzahini , Michael Kokkolaras , Sébastien Le Digabel

Stochastic inverse problems are generally solved by some form of finite sampling of a space of uncertain parameters. For computationally expensive models, surrogate response surfaces are often employed to increase the number of samples used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Steven Mattis , Barbara Wohlmuth

Engineering design involves demanding models encompassing many decision variables and uncontrollable parameters. In addition, unavoidable aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties can be very impactful and add further complexity. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-27 Enrico Ampellio , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

In offline data-driven multi-objective optimization (MOO), optimization is performed using surrogate models trained only on an offline dataset. These surrogate models contain inherent errors and uncertainty. This epistemic uncertainty can…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Huanbo Lyu , Miqing Li , Shiqiao Zhou , Daniel Herring , Jelena Ninic , Zheming Zuo , Lingfeng Wang , James Andrews , Fabian Spill , Shuo Wang

Decision trees are powerful for predictive modeling but often suffer from high variance when modeling continuous relationships. While algorithms like Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) excel at capturing such continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 William Pattie , Arvind Krishna

Bayesian optimization (BO), which uses a Gaussian process (GP) as a surrogate to model its objective function, is popular for black-box optimization. However, due to the limitations of GPs, BO underperforms in some problems such as those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Zhongxiang Dai , Yao Shu , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Bayesian Optimization is a popular approach for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Its key idea is to use a surrogate model to approximate the objective and, importantly, quantify the associated uncertainty that allows a sequential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-05 Haoxian Chen , Henry Lam

In real-world applications, it is important for machine learning algorithms to be robust against data outliers or corruptions. In this paper, we focus on improving the robustness of a large class of learning algorithms that are formulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Quanming Yao , Hangsi Yang , En-Liang Hu , James Kwok

Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev