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Aims: To propose a general sample size framework for developing or updating a clinical prediction model using any statistical or machine learning method, based on drawing samples from anticipated posterior distributions and targeting…

Exponential tail bounds for sums play an important role in statistics, but the example of the $t$-statistic shows that the exponential tail decay may be lost when population parameters need to be estimated from the data. However, it turns…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Guenther Walther

We develop a framework to study posterior contraction rates in sparse high dimensional generalized linear models (GLM). We introduce a new family of GLMs, denoted by clipped GLM, which subsumes many standard GLMs and makes minor…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Biraj Subhra Guha , Debdeep Pati

In this paper, we aim at recovering an unknown signal x0 from noisy L1measurements y=Phi*x0+w, where Phi is an ill-conditioned or singular linear operator and w accounts for some noise. To regularize such an ill-posed inverse problem, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Samuel Vaiter , Charles Deledalle , Gabriel Peyré , Charles Dossal , Jalal Fadili

Detection of an image boundary when the pixel intensities are measured with noise is an important problem in image segmentation, with numerous applications in medical imaging and engineering. From a statistical point of view, the challenge…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-11 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

Predictive inference in the sparse Gaussian sequence model has received considerably less attention than its non-sparse, finite-sample counterpart. Existing work has largely been confined to discrete mixture priors. In this paper, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Percy S. Zhai , Veronika Ročková

We introduce a new empirical Bayes approach for large-scale multiple linear regression. Our approach combines two key ideas: (i) the use of flexible "adaptive shrinkage" priors, which approximate the nonparametric family of scale mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Youngseok Kim , Wei Wang , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

Substantial research on structured sparsity has contributed to analysis of many different applications. However, there have been few Bayesian procedures among this work. Here, we develop a Bayesian model for structured sparsity that uses a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Barbara E. Engelhardt , Ryan P. Adams

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

In the value-added literature, it is often claimed that regressing on empirical Bayes shrinkage estimates corrects for the measurement error problem in linear regression. We clarify the conditions needed; we argue that these conditions are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Jiafeng Chen , Jiaying Gu , Soonwoo Kwon

We study predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in $\ell_0$-sparse Gaussian sequence models. We propose proper Bayes predictive density estimates and establish asymptotic minimaxity in sparse models. A surprise is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

We study convergence lower bounds of without-replacement stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for solving smooth (strongly-)convex finite-sum minimization problems. Unlike most existing results focusing on final iterate lower bounds in terms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Jaeyoung Cha , Jaewook Lee , Chulhee Yun

This paper addresses the task of estimating a covariance matrix under a patternless sparsity assumption. In contrast to existing approaches based on thresholding or shrinkage penalties, we propose a likelihood-based method that regularizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Jason Xu , Kenneth Lange

The emergence of Big Data raises the question of how to model economic relations when there is a large number of possible explanatory variables. We revisit the issue by comparing the possibility of using dense or sparse models in a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Bruno Fava , Hedibert F. Lopes

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

Selecting a subset of variables for linear models remains an active area of research. This paper reviews many of the recent contributions to the Bayesian model selection and shrinkage prior literature. A posterior variable selection summary…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-05 P. Richard Hahn , Carlos M. Carvalho

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models offer a versatile framework for multivariate time series analysis, yet face critical challenges from over-parameterization and uncertain lag order. In this paper, we systematically compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Harrison Katz , Robert E. Weiss

Recent studies have shown that heavy tails can emerge in stochastic optimization and that the heaviness of the tails have links to the generalization error. While these studies have shed light on interesting aspects of the generalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Anant Raj , Melih Barsbey , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu , Umut Şimşekli

Regularized models are often sensitive to the scales of the features in the data and it has therefore become standard practice to normalize (center and scale) the features before fitting the model. But there are many different ways to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-04 Johan Larsson , Jonas Wallin

Dropout regularization of deep neural networks has been a mysterious yet effective tool to prevent overfitting. Explanations for its success range from the prevention of "co-adapted" weights to it being a form of cheap Bayesian inference.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Eric Nalisnick , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Padhraic Smyth
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