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Process data, temporally ordered categorical observations, are of recent interest due to its increasing abundance and the desire to extract useful information. A process is a collection of time-stamped events of different types, recording…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Guanhua Fang , Zhiliang Ying

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

Discrete latent space models have recently achieved performance on par with their continuous counterparts in deep variational inference. While they still face various implementation challenges, these models offer the opportunity for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-22 Max Cohen , Maurice Charbit , Sylvain Le Corff

Topic models provide a useful text-mining tool for learning, extracting, and discovering latent structures in large text corpora. Although a plethora of methods have been proposed for topic modeling, lacking in the literature is a formal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-12 Yinyin Chen , Shishuang He , Yun Yang , Feng Liang

Often in machine learning, data are collected as a combination of multiple conditions, e.g., the voice recordings of multiple persons, each labeled with an ID. How could we build a model that captures the latent information related to these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Zhenwen Dai , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

This manuscript develops computationally efficient online learning for multivariate spatiotemporal models. The method relies on matrix-variate Gaussian distributions, dynamic linear models, and Bayesian predictive stacking to efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luca Presicce , Sudipto Banerjee

Critically ill patients in regular wards are vulnerable to unanticipated adverse events which require prompt transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU). To allow for accurate prognosis of deteriorating patients, we develop a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Ahmed M. Alaa , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Intensive longitudinal studies are becoming progressively more prevalent across many social science areas, especially in psychology. New technologies like smart-phones, fitness trackers, and the Internet of Things make it much easier than…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-17 Yunxiao Chen , Siliang Zhang

This paper proposes a new sequential model learning architecture to solve partially observable Markov decision problems. Rather than compressing sequential information at every timestep as in conventional recurrent neural network-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Giseung Park , Sungho Choi , Youngchul Sung

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We propose a Bayesian hidden Markov model for analyzing time series and sequential data where a special structure of the transition probability matrix is embedded to model explicit-duration semi-Markovian dynamics. Our formulation allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson , Mark Fiecas

We present a novel Bayesian topic model for learning discourse-level document structure. Our model leverages insights from discourse theory to constrain latent topic assignments in a way that reflects the underlying organization of document…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Harr Chen , S. R. K. Branavan , Regina Barzilay , David R. Karger

We consider the estimation of the transition matrix of a hidden Markovian process by using information geometry with respect to transition matrices. In this paper, only the histogram of $k$-memory data is used for the estimation. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Masahito Hayashi

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-13 Yu Luo , Chris Sherlock

Unsupervised estimation of latent variable models is a fundamental problem central to numerous applications of machine learning and statistics. This work presents a principled approach for estimating broad classes of such models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-27 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Adel Javanmard , Sham M. Kakade

Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-27 Fernando Miguelez , Josu Doncel , Maria Dolores Ugarte

We propose a Bayesian propensity score-augmented latent factor model for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data. The framework explicitly models the treatment assignment mechanism by incorporating latent factor loadings,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Licheng Liu

We introduce a Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model that explicitly captures spatial correlations in data using a parameterized spatial kernel and leveraging structure-exploiting algebra on the model covariance matrices for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-23 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras
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