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The highly detailed international trade data among all countries in the world during 1971-2000 shows that the kinds of export goods and the logarithmic GDP (gross domestic production) of a country has an S-shaped relationship. This…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Lunchao Hu , Kailan Tian , Xin Wang , Jiang Zhang

International trade fluxes evolve as countries revise their portfolios of trade products towards economic development. Accordingly products' shares in international trade vary with time, reflecting the transfer of capital between distinct…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 Matthieu Barbier , D. -S. Lee

We consider the sectoral composition of a country's GDP, i.e. the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service sectors. Exploring a simple system of differential equations we characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-15 Raphael Lutz , Michael Spies , Dominik E. Reusser , Jürgen P. Kropp , Diego Rybski

We use the logistic equation to model the dynamics of the GDP and the trade of the six countries with the highest GDP in the world, namely, USA, China, Japan, Germany, UK and India. From the modelling of the economic data, which are made…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-27 Abhin Kakkad , Arnab K. Ray

To describe international trade flows, we propose the coulomb force formulation, in which the magnitude of the charge represents gross domestic product (GDP) and the distance between countries is the bilateral distance, the product of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-16 Mikrajuddin Abdullah

Growth rate of real GDP per capita, GDPpc, is represented as a sum of two components, a monotonically decreasing economic trend and fluctuations related to population change. The economic trend is modelled by an inverse function of GDPpc…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-23 Ivan Kitov

As huge complex systems consisting of geographic regions, natural resources, people and economic entities, countries follow the allometric scaling law which is ubiquitous in ecological, urban systems. We systematically investigated the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-01-07 Jiang Zhang , Tongkui Yu

Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Angeles Serrano

The Theil index is much used in economy and finance; it looks like the Shannon entropy, but pertains to event values rather than to their probabilities. Any time series can be remapped through the Theil index. Correlation coefficients can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-04 Marcel Ausloos , Janusz Miskiewicz

In recent decades, trade between nations has constituted an important component of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with official estimates showing that it likely accounted for a quarter of total global production. While evidence of…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-24 Mayank Kejriwal , Yuesheng Luo

The distributions of trade values and relationships among countries and product categories reflect how countries select their trade partners and design export portfolios. Here we consider the exporter-importer network and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-05 Sung-Gook Choi , Deok-Sun Lee

Politicians world-wide frequently promise a better life for their citizens. We find that the probability that a country will increase its {\it per capita} GDP ({\it gdp}) rank within a decade follows an exponential distribution with decay…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-14 Boris Podobnik , Davor Horvatic , Dror Y. Kenett , H. Eugene Stanley

We analyze export data aggregated at world global level of 219 classes of products over a period of 39 years. Our main goal is to set up a dynamical model to identify and quantify plausible mechanisms by which the evolutions of the various…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Michele Caraglio , Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

Analyzing real data on international trade covering the time interval 1950-2000, we show that in each year over the analyzed period the network is a typical representative of the ensemble of maximally random weighted networks, whose…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

The cluster analysis methods are used in order to perform a comparative study of 15 EU countries in relation with the fluctuations of some basic macroeconomic indicators. The statistical distances between countries are calculated for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-16 Mircea Gligor , Marcel Ausloos

By analyzing a large data set of daily returns with data clustering technique, we identify economic sectors as clusters of assets with a similar economic dynamics. The sector size distribution follows Zipf's law. Secondly, we find that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Matteo Marsili

The international trade is one of the classic areas of study in economics. Nowadays, given the availability of data, the tools used for the analysis can be complemented and enriched with new methodologies and techniques that go beyond the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-23 Diego Kozlowski , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Andrea Molinari

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch

In this paper, we employ spatial econometric methods to analyze panel data from German NUTS 3 regions. Our goal is to gain a deeper understanding of the significance and interdependence of industry clusters in shaping the dynamics of GDP.…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-22 Vahidin Jeleskovic , Steffen Loeber

A country's mix of products predicts its subsequent pattern of diversification and economic growth. But does this product mix also predict income inequality? Here we combine methods from econometrics, network science, and economic…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-31 D. Hartmann , M. R. Guevara , C. Jara-Figueroa , M. Aristaran , C. A. Hidalgo
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