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Highly-diverse ecosystems exhibit a broad distribution of population sizes and species turnover, where species at high and low abundances are exchanged over time. We show that these two features generically emerge in the fluctuating phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-09 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey , Guy Bunin

In this paper we consider two branching processes living in a joint random environment. Assuming that both processes are critical we address the following question: What is the probability that both populations survive up to a large time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Nikita Elizarov , Vitali Wachtel

Tumors initiate when a population of proliferating cells accumulates a certain number and type of genetic and/or epigenetic alterations. The population dynamics of such sequential acquisition of (epi)genetic alterations has been the topic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-09 Peter Ashcroft , Franziska Michor , Tobias Galla

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of processes with switching. More precisely, the stability under fast switching for diffusion processes and discrete state space Markovian processes is considered. The proofs are based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle

In this note, we study the long time behavior of Lotka-Volterra systems whose coefficients vary randomly. Bena{\"i}m and Lobry (2015) recently established that randomly switching between two environments that are both favorable to the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Florent Malrieu , Pierre-André Zitt

The forest of mutations associated to a multitype branching forest is obtained by merging together all vertices of its clusters and by preserving connections between them. We first show that the forest of mutations of any mulitype branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Loïc Chaumont , Thi Ngoc Anh Nguyen

We consider an asexually reproducing population on a finite type space whose evolution is driven by exponential birth, death and competition rates, as well as the possibility of mutation at a birth event. On the individual-based level this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-10 Anna Kraut , Anton Bovier

We explore the connection between evolution and large-deviation theory. To do so, we study evolutionary dynamics in which individuals experience mutations, reproduction, and selection using variants of the Moran model. We show that, in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-09 Sara Dal Cengio , Quentin Laurenceau , Vivien Lecomte , Charline Smadi , Julien Tailleur

We present a version of the classical Moran model, in which mutations are taken into account; the possibility of mutations was introduced by Moran in his seminal paper, but it is more often overlooked in discussing the Moran model. For this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-07 Giuseppe Gaeta

For a population with any given number of types, we construct a new multivariate Moran process with frequency-dependent selection and establish, analytically, a correspondence to equilibrium Lotka-Volterra phenomenology. This…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-30 Andrew E. Noble , Alan Hastings , William F. Fagan

In genetics the Moran model describes the neutral evolution of a bi-allelic gene in a population of haploid individuals subjected to mutations. We show in this paper that this model can be mapped into an influence dynamical process on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

We study the persistence in a class of continuous stochastic processes that are stationary only under integer shifts of time. We show that under certain conditions, the persistence of such a continuous process reduces to the persistence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Deepak Dhar

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

We derive asymptotic formulae in the limit when population size N tends to infinity for mean fixation times (conditional and unconditional) in a population with two types of individuals, A and B, governed by the Moran process. We consider…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-25 Rosângela A. Pires , Armando G. M. Neves

We model and study the genetic evolution and conservation of a population of diploid hermaphroditic organisms, evolving continuously in time and subject to resource competition. In the absence of mutations, the population follows a 3-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Camille Coron

In a view for a simple model where natural selection at the individual level is confronted to selection effects at the group level, we consider some individual-based models of some large population subdivided into a large number of groups.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Aurélien Velleret

We propose a hybrid dynamical system approach to model the evolution of a pathogen that experiences different selective pressures according to a stochastic process. In every environment, the evolution of the pathogen is described by a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Jozsef Z. Farkas , Peter Hinow , Jan Engelstädter

In this paper, we study a finite population undergoing discrete, nonoverlapping generations, that is structured into $D$ demes, each containing $N$ individuals of two possible types, $A$ and $B$, whose viability coefficients, $s_A$ and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-02 Dhaker Kroumi , Sabin Lessard