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Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

In this paper, we give a new covariation spectral representation of some non stationary symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes (S$\alpha$S). This representation is based on a weaker covariation pseudo additivity condition which is more general…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-22 Nourddine Azzaoui

In this manuscript, we analytically and numerically study statistical properties of an heteroskedastic process based on the celebrated ARCH generator of random variables whose variance is defined by a memory of $q_{m}$-exponencial, form…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-01-23 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

Imposing some flexible sampling scheme we provide some discretization of continuous time discrete scale invariant (DSI) processes which is a subsidiary discrete time DSI process. Then by introducing some simple random measure we provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 S. Rezakhah , Y. Maleki

In this paper we study the self-similar processes with stationary increments in a discrete-time setting. Different from the continuous-time case, it is shown that the scaling function of such a process may not take the form of a power…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Yi Shen , Zhenyuan Zhang

Identification of multinomial choice models is often established by using special covariates that have full support. This paper shows how these identification results can be extended to a large class of multinomial choice models when all…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-03-23 Nail Kashaev

We propose a novel estimator of the autocorrelation function in presence of missing observations. We establish the consistency, the asymptotic normality, and we derive deviation bounds for various classes of weakly dependent stationary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-22 Natalia Bahamonde , Paul Doukhan , Eric Moulines

We consider multivariate stationary processes $(\boldsymbol{X}_t)$ satisfying a stochastic recurrence equation of the form $$ \boldsymbol{X}_t= \mathbb{ M}_t \boldsymbol{X}_{t-1} + \boldsymbol{Q}_t,$$ where $(\boldsymbol{Q}_t)$ are iid…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Sebastian Mentemeier , Olivier Wintenberger

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We introduce a new class of stochastic processes which are stationary, Markovian and characterized by an infinite range of time-scales. By transforming the Fokker-Planck equation of the process into a Schrodinger equation with an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Fabrizio Lillo , Salvatore Micciche' , Rosario N. Mantegna

We consider estimation of covariance matrices and their inverses (a.k.a. precision matrices) for high-dimensional stationary and locally stationary time series. In the latter case the covariance matrices evolve smoothly in time, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Xiaohui Chen , Mengyu Xu , Wei Biao Wu

We consider autocovariance operators of a stationary stochastic process on a Polish space that is embedded into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate how empirical estimates of these operators converge along realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Mattes Mollenhauer , Stefan Klus , Christof Schütte , Péter Koltai

In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

Extending the ideas of [7], this paper aims at providing a kernel based non-parametric estimation of a new class of time varying AR(1) processes (Xt), with local stationarity and periodic features (with a known period T), inducing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Jean-Marc Bardet , Paul Doukhan

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Paweł J. Szabłowski

This paper studies a distributed estimation problem for time-varying/time-invariant large-scale interconnected systems (LISs). A fully distributed estimator is presented by recursively solving a distributed modified Riccati equation (DMRE)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Zhongyao Hu , Bo Chen , Jianzheng Wang , Daniel W. C. Ho , Wen-An Zhang , Li Yu

The stability properties of matrix-valued Riccati diffusions are investigated. The matrix-valued Riccati diffusion processes considered in this work are of interest in their own right, as a rather prototypical model of a matrix-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

Stationary reciprocal processes defined on a finite interval of the integer line can be seen as a special class of Markov random fields restricted to one dimension. Non stationary reciprocal processes have been extensively studied in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Francesca Carli , Augusto Ferrante , Michele Pavon , Giorgio Picci

The higher dimensional autoregressive models would describe some of the econometric processes relatively generically if they incorporate the heterogeneity in dependence on times. This paper analyzes the stationarity of an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Varsha S. Kulkarni

This paper deals with the time-varying high dimensional covariance matrix estimation. We propose two covariance matrix estimators corresponding with a time-varying approximate factor model and a time-varying approximate characteristic-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-29 Jaeheon Jung