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An open scientific challenge is how to classify events with reliable measures of uncertainty, when we have a mechanistic model of the data-generating process but the distribution over both labels and latent nuisance parameters is different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-02 Luca Masserano , Alex Shen , Michele Doro , Tommaso Dorigo , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

In this paper, we propose new specification tests for regression models with measurement errors in the explanatory variables. Inspired by the integrated conditional moment (ICM) approach, we use a deconvoluted residual-marked empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

Machine learning methods strive to acquire a robust model during the training process that can effectively generalize to test samples, even in the presence of distribution shifts. However, these methods often suffer from performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jian Liang , Ran He , Tieniu Tan

In various situations one is given only the predictions of multiple classifiers over a large unlabeled test data. This scenario raises the following questions: Without any labeled data and without any a-priori knowledge about the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-31 Ariel Jaffe , Boaz Nadler , Yuval Kluger

We consider regression models with parametric (linear or nonlinear) regression function and allow responses to be ``missing at random.'' We assume that the errors have mean zero and are independent of the covariates. In order to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Ursula U. Müller

Although neural networks are powerful function approximators, the underlying modelling assumptions ultimately define the likelihood and thus the hypothesis class they are parameterizing. In classification, these assumptions are minimal as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Maria R. Cervera , Rafael Dätwyler , Francesco D'Angelo , Hamza Keurti , Benjamin F. Grewe , Christian Henning

We propose an efficient method to estimate the accuracy of classifiers using only unlabeled data. We consider a setting with multiple classification problems where the target classes may be tied together through logical constraints. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-22 Emmanouil A. Platanios , Hoifung Poon , Tom M. Mitchell , Eric Horvitz

This paper proposes a new class of nonparametric tests for the correct specification of models based on conditional moment restrictions, paying particular attention to generalized propensity score models. The test procedure is based on two…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song

The study of model bias and variance with respect to decision boundaries is critically important in supervised classification. There is generally a tradeoff between the two, as fine-tuning of the decision boundary of a classification model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Matthew Almeida , Wei Ding , Scott Crouter , Ping Chen

We propose a methodology for testing linear hypothesis in high-dimensional linear models. The proposed test does not impose any restriction on the size of the model, i.e. model sparsity or the loading vector representing the hypothesis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic

Overconfidence is a common issue for deep neural networks, limiting their deployment in real-world applications. To better estimate confidence, existing methods mostly focus on fully-supervised scenarios and rely on training labels. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Chen Li , Xiaoling Hu , Chao Chen

This paper proposes a max-test for testing (possibly infinitely) many zero parameter restrictions in an extremum estimation framework. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many empirical loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Jonathan B. Hill

Nonlinear expectation, including sublinear expectation as its special case, is a new and original framework of probability theory and has potential applications in some scientific fields, especially in finance risk measure and management.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-15 Lu Lin , Yufeng Shi , Xin Wang , Shuzhen Yang

We consider the novel problem of unsupervised domain adaptation of source models, without access to the source data for semantic segmentation. Unsupervised domain adaptation aims to adapt a model learned on the labeled source data, to a new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Sujoy Paul , Ansh Khurana , Gaurav Aggarwal

In this paper, we investigate a challenging unsupervised domain adaptation setting -- unsupervised model adaptation. We aim to explore how to rely only on unlabeled target data to improve performance of an existing source prediction model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Rui Li , Qianfen Jiao , Wenming Cao , Hau-San Wong , Si Wu

We consider a semi-supervised classification problem with non-stationary label-shift in which we observe a labelled data set followed by a sequence of unlabelled covariate vectors in which the marginal probabilities of the class labels may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Henry W J Reeve

Classifier predictions often rely on the assumption that new observations come from the same distribution as training data. When the underlying distribution changes, so does the optimal classification rule, and performance may degrade. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ciaran Evans , Max G'Sell

Datasets typically contain inaccuracies due to human error and societal biases, and these inaccuracies can affect the outcomes of models trained on such datasets. We present a technique for certifying whether linear regression models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Anna P. Meyer , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

Gauging the performance of ML models on data from unseen domains at test-time is essential yet a challenging problem due to the lack of labels in this setting. Moreover, the performance of these models on in-distribution data is a poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Akshay Mehra , Yunbei Zhang , Jihun Hamm

Medical researchers have solved the problem of estimating the sensitivity and specificity of binary medical diagnostic tests without gold standard tests for comparison. That problem is the same as estimating confusion matrices for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-29 Richard Evans
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