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Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Learning in neural networks critically hinges on the intricate geometry of the loss landscape associated with a given task. Traditionally, most research has focused on finding specific weight configurations that minimize the loss. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-30 Margherita Mele , Roberto Menichetti , Alessandro Ingrosso , Raffaello Potestio

Community detection is one of the most important problems in network analysis. Among many algorithms proposed for this task, methods based on statistical inference are of particular interest: they are mathematically sound and were shown to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Alexey Tikhonov

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

The ratio of two probability densities, called a density-ratio, is a vital quantity in machine learning. In particular, a relative density-ratio, which is a bounded extension of the density-ratio, has received much attention due to its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-05 Atsutoshi Kumagai , Tomoharu Iwata , Yasuhiro Fujiwara

Despite huge successes on a wide range of tasks, neural networks are known to sometimes struggle to generalise to unseen data. Many approaches have been proposed over the years to promote the generalisation ability of neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Christiaan P. Opperman , Anna S. Bosman , Katherine M. Malan

Multidimensional efficiency maps are commonly used in high energy physics experiments to mitigate the limitations in the generation of large samples of simulated events. Binned multidimensional efficiency maps are however strongly limited…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2020-05-19 C. Badiali , F. A. Di Bello , G. Frattari , E. Gross , V. Ippolito , M. Kado , J. Shlomi

With the recent explosion of publicly available biological data, the analysis of networks has gained significant interest. In particular, recent promising results in Neuroscience show that the way neurons and areas of the brain are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-11-17 Umberto Esposito , Eleni Vasilaki

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian belief networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the belief networks, we derive…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Barber , J. W. Clark , C. H. Anderson

In training neural networks, it is common practice to use partial gradients computed over batches, mostly very small subsets of the training set. This approach is motivated by the argument that such a partial gradient is close to the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Jan Spörer , Bernhard Bermeitinger , Tomas Hrycej , Niklas Limacher , Siegfried Handschuh

There has been an ever-increasing interest in multidisciplinary research on representing and reasoning with imperfect data. Possibilistic networks present one of the powerful frameworks of interest for representing uncertain and imprecise…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-14 Maroua Haddad , Philippe Leray , Nahla Ben Amor

Two aspects of neural networks that have been extensively studied in the recent literature are their function approximation properties and their training by gradient descent methods. The approximation problem seeks accurate approximations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 R. Gentile , G. Welper

Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

Most conventional Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms aim to optimize decision-making rules in terms of the expected returns. However, especially for risk management purposes, other risk-sensitive criteria such as the value-at-risk or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Tetsuro Morimura , Masashi Sugiyama , Hisashi Kashima , Hirotaka Hachiya , Toshiyuki Tanaka

Given a model in algebraic statistics and some data, the likelihood function is a rational function on a projective variety. Algebraic algorithms are presented for computing all critical points of this function, with the aim of identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serkan Hosten , Amit Khetan , Bernd Sturmfels

Robust classification algorithms have been developed in recent years with great success. We take advantage of this development and recast the classical two-sample test problem in the framework of classification. Based on the estimates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Haiyan Cai , Bryan Goggin , Qingtang Jiang

Probabilistic Regression refers to predicting a full probability density function for the target conditional on the features. We present a nonparametric approach to this problem which combines base classifiers (typically gradient boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Brian Lucena

Linear networks provide valuable insights into the workings of neural networks in general. This paper identifies conditions under which the gradient flow provably trains a linear network, in spite of the non-strict saddle points present in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Armin Eftekhari