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We propose two neural network based mixture models in this article. The proposed mixture models are explicit in nature. The explicit models have analytical forms with the advantages of computing likelihood and efficiency of generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Dong Liu , Minh Thành Vu , Saikat Chatterjee , Lars K. Rasmussen

Predicting the behavior of a wireless link in terms of, e.g., the frame delivery ratio, is a critical task for optimizing the performance of wireless industrial communication systems. This is because industrial applications are typically…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Gabriele Formis , Stefano Scanzio , Lukasz Wisniewski , Gianluca Cena

I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

Network datasets typically exhibit certain types of statistical dependencies, such as within-dyad correlation, row and column heterogeneity, and third-order dependence patterns such as transitivity and clustering. The first two of these can…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Peter D. Hoff

Estimation of latent network flows is a common problem in statistical network analysis. The typical setting is that we know the margins of the network, i.e. in- and outdegrees, but the flows are unobserved. In this paper, we develop a mixed…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-23 Marc Schneble , Göran Kauermann

Empirical researchers often estimate spillover effects by fitting linear or non-linear regression models to sampled network data. We show that common sampling schemes bias these estimates, potentially upwards, and derive biased-corrected…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-23 Kieran Marray

We propose a general framework for modelling network data that is designed to describe aspects of non-exchangeable networks. Conditional on latent (unobserved) variables, the edges of the network are generated by their finite growth history…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Weichi Wu , Sofia Olhede , Patrick Wolfe

Autoregressive models have emerged as a powerful framework for modeling exchangeable sequences - i.i.d. observations when conditioned on some latent factor - enabling direct modeling of uncertainty from missing data (rather than a latent).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Daksh Mittal , Ang Li , Tzu-Ching Yen , Daniel Guetta , Hongseok Namkoong

It is tempting to think that machines are less prone to unfairness and prejudice. However, machine learning approaches compute their outputs based on data. While biases can enter at any stage of the development pipeline, models are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Patrick Esser , Robin Rombach , Björn Ommer

According to standard econometric theory, Maximum Likelihood estimation (MLE) is the efficient estimation choice, however, it is not always a feasible one. In network diffusion models with unobserved signal propagation, MLE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 L. S. Sanna Stephan

We consider causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding. We study the case where a proxy is available for the unobserved confounding in the form of a network connecting the units. For example, the link structure of a social…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Victor Veitch , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

The analysis of network data has gained considerable interest in recent years. This also includes the analysis of large, high-dimensional networks with hundreds and thousands of nodes. While exponential random graph models serve as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Nadja Klein , Göran Kauermann

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

Network models are widely used to represent relational information among interacting units and the structural implications of these relations. Recently, social network studies have focused a great deal of attention on random graph models of…

Applications · Statistics 2010-10-06 Mark S. Handcock , Krista J. Gile

The edges in networks are not only binary, either present or absent, but also take weighted values in many scenarios (e.g., the number of emails between two users). The covariate-$p_0$ model has been proposed to model binary directed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-24 MengXu , Qiuping Wang

Extracting time-varying latent variables from computational cognitive models is a key step in model-based neural analysis, which aims to understand the neural correlates of cognitive processes. However, existing methods only allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Ti-Fen Pan , Jing-Jing Li , Bill Thompson , Anne Collins

Latent variable models for network data extract a summary of the relational structure underlying an observed network. The simplest possible models subdivide nodes of the network into clusters; the probability of a link between any two nodes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Konstantina Palla , David Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

Computing expected predictions of discriminative models is a fundamental task in machine learning that appears in many interesting applications such as fairness, handling missing values, and data analysis. Unfortunately, computing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Pasha Khosravi , YooJung Choi , Yitao Liang , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that accommodate, for example, transitivity, degree heterogenenity, and other stylized features often observed in real network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Jinyuan Chang , Qin Fang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Peter W. MacDonald , Qiwei Yao

In the era of big data, it is necessary to split extremely large data sets across multiple computing nodes and construct estimators using the distributed data. When designing distributed estimators, it is desirable to minimize the amount of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Azeem Zaman , Botond Szabó
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