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A multi-level model of opinion formation is presented which takes into account that attitudes on different issues are usually not independent. In the model, agents exchange beliefs regarding a series of facts. A cognitive structure of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-11 Sven Banisch , Eckehard Olbrich

Democracies employ elections at various scales to select officials at the corresponding levels of administration. The geographical distribution of political opinion, the policy issues delegated to each level, and the multilevel interactions…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-03 Sihao Huang , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Andrew Gelman

This paper models voters who invest effort to determine whether a particular claim relevant to their voting choices is correct. If a voter succeeds in determining whether the claim is correct, this information is shared via a social…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-22 Boris Ginzburg

We study the effect of time-fluctuating social influences on the formation of polarization and consensus in a three-party community consisting of two types of voters ("leftists" and "rightists") holding extreme opinions, and moderate agents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Mauro Mobilia

Politically divided societies are also often divided emotionally: people like and trust those with similar political views (in-group favoritism) while disliking and distrusting those with different views (out-group animosity). This…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Allon G. Percus , Kristina Lerman

Contemporary societies are often "polarized", in the sense that sub-groups within these societies hold stably opposing beliefs, even when there is a fact of the matter. Extant models of polarization do not capture the idea that some beliefs…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Cailin O'Connor , James Owen Weatherall

This paper studies the evolution of the distribution of opinions in a population of individuals in which there exist two distinct subgroups of highly-committed, well-connected opinion leaders endowed with a strong convincing power. Each…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-13 Nino Boccara

We introduce a simple, geometric model of opinion polarization. It is a model of political persuasion, as well as marketing and advertising, utilizing social values. It focuses on the interplay between different topics and persuasion…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Jan Hązła , Yan Jin , Elchanan Mossel , Govind Ramnarayan

The form of political polarization where citizens develop strongly negative attitudes towards out-party policies and members has become increasingly prominent across many democracies. Economic hardship and social inequality, as well as…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-12 Alexander J. Stewart , Joshua B. Plotkin , Nolan McCarty

We analyze the evolution of political organizations using a model in which agents change their opinions via two competing mechanisms. Two agents may interact and reach consensus, and additionally, individual agents may spontaneously change…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim

This paper provides a novel summary measure of ideological polarization in the American public based on the joint distribution of survey responses. Intuitively, polarization is maximized when views are concentrated at opposing extremes with…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-02 Alistair Pattison

Over the past decade, contrary to the early popular expectation that large-scale discourse in online communities would foster greater consensus, the large-scale structure of online discourse has been measured to be strongly polarized.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-28 Vince Campo , Sebastien Motsch , Dylan Weber

Does polarization online reflect the state of polarization in society? We study ideological positions and attitudes on several issues in France, a country with documented issue nonalignment. We compare distributions on X/Twitter with a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Antoine Vendeville , Hiroki Yamashita , Pedro Ramaciotti

Politics around the world exhibits increasing polarization, demonstrated in part by rigid voting configurations in institutions like legislatures or courts. A crux of polarization is separation along a unidimensional ideological axis, but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Edward D. Lee

As the consequences of opinion polarization effect our everyday life in more and more aspect, the understanding of its origins and driving forces becomes increasingly important. Here we develop an agent-based network model with realistic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-26 Zoltan Kovács , Anna Zafeiris , Gergely Palla

In recent years, the ease with which social media can be accessed has led to the unexpected problem of a shrinkage in information sources. This phenomenon is caused by a system that facilitates the connection of people with similar ideas…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Naoki Hirakura , Masaki Aida , Konosuke Kawashima

Digital communication has made the public discourse considerably more complex, and new actors and strategies have emerged as a result of this seismic shift. Aside from the often-studied interactions among individuals during opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-01 Luzie Helfmann , Nataša Djurdjevac Conrad , Philipp Lorenz-Spreen , Christof Schütte

Many democratic societies have become more politically polarized, with the U.S. as the main example. The origins of this phenomenon are still not well-understood and subject to debate. To better understand the mechanisms underlying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-29 Lucas Böttcher , Hans Gersbach

Affective polarization, or, inter-party hostility, is increasingly recognized as a pervasive issue in democracies worldwide, posing a threat to social cohesion. The digital media ecosystem, now widely accessible and ever-present, has often…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Narayani Vedam , Subhayan Mukerjee , Prasanta Bhattacharya

Political polarization appears to be on the rise, as measured by voting behavior, general affect towards opposing partisans and their parties, and contents posted and consumed online. Research over the years has focused on the role of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Kiran Garimella , Tim Smith , Rebecca Weiss , Robert West