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We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…
We consider triangular arrays of Markov chains that converge weakly to a diffusion process. Second order Edgeworth type expansions for transition densities are proved. The paper differs from recent results in two respects. We allow…
Very recently, Transformation based Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) was proposed by Dutta and Bhattcharya (2013) as a much efficient alternative to the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, Random Walk Metropolis (RWM) algorithm, especially in…
In the context of nonparametric Bayesian estimation a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is devised and implemented to sample from the posterior distribution of the drift function of a continuously or discretely observed one-dimensional…
Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) are graphical representations of multi-component continuous-time Markov processes as directed graphs. The edges in the network represent direct influences among components. The joint rate matrix of…
We develop a diffusion approximation for systems subject to fast random resetting by small amplitudes. Equivalently, this describes systems with frequent but small catastrophes. We demonstrate the validity of the approximation by computing…
We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…
We propose a two step strategy for estimating one-dimensional dynamical parameters of a quantum Markov chain, which involves quantum post-processing the output using a coherent quantum absorber and a "pattern counting'' estimator computed…
We propose and study a certain discrete time counterpart of the classical Feynman--Kac semigroup with a confining potential in countable infinite spaces. For a class of long range Markov chains which satisfy the direct step property we…
Continuous-time stochastic processes play an important role in the description of random phenomena, it is therefore of prime interest to study particular variables depending on their paths, like stopping time for example. One approach…
Discrete flow models offer a powerful framework for learning distributions over discrete state spaces and have demonstrated superior performance compared to the discrete diffusion models. However, their convergence properties and error…
In this paper we consider the Modified Craig-Sneyd (MCS) scheme which forms a prominent time stepping method of the Alternating Direction Implicit type for multidimensional time-dependent convection-diffusion equations with mixed spatial…
We investigate a second-order accurate time-stepping scheme for solving a time-fractional diffusion equation with a Caputo derivative of order~$\alpha \in (0,1)$. The basic idea of our scheme is based on local integration followed by linear…
L\'{e}vy flight models whose jumps have infinite moments are mathematically used to describe the superdiffusion in complex systems. Exponentially tempering the Levy measure of L\'{e}vy flights leads to the tempered stable L\'{e}vy processes…
Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…
We develop a new approach to study the long time behaviour of solutions to nonlinear stochastic differential equations in the sense of McKean, as well as propagation of chaos for the corresponding mean-field particle system approximations.…
We analyse diffusion dynamics on weakly-coupled networks (interconnected networks) by means of separation of time scales. Using an adiabatic approximation we reduced the system dynamics to a Markov chain with aggregated variables and…
In line with the methodology introduced in our recent article for formulating probabilistic representations of integration by parts involving killed diffusion, we establish an integration by parts formula for the first exit time of…
Tempered fractional diffusion equations are a crucial class of equations widely applied in many physical fields. In this paper, the Crank-Nicolson method and the tempered weighted and shifts Gr\"unwald formula are firstly applied to…
We propose a new fiducial Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for fitting parametric Gaussian models. We utilize the Cayley transform to decompose the parametric covariance matrix, which in turn allows us to formulate a general data…