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A framework to establish response theory for a class of nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) is provided. More specifically, it is shown that for a certain class of observables, the averages of those observables…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-24 Giulia Carigi , Tobias Kuna , Jochen Bröcker

The problem of mean-square optimal linear estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unknown values of a multidimensional stationary stochastic sequence from observations of the sequence with a noise and missing observations is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Oleksandr Masyutka , Mikhail Moklyachuk , Maria Sidei

The climate belongs to the class of non-equilibrium forced and dissipative systems, for which most results of quasi-equilibrium statistical mechanics, including the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, do not apply. We show for the first time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 Valerio Lucarini , Stefania Sarno

This paper is the second in a series devoted to the study of Langevin systems subjected to a continuous time-delayed feedback control. The goal of our previous paper [Phys. Rev. E 91, 042114 (2015)] was to derive second-law-like…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-01 M. L. Rosinberg , G. Tarjus , T. Munakata

We study the problem of parameter estimation for reflected stochastic processes driven by a standard Brownian motion. The estimator is obtained using nonlinear least squares method based on discretely observed processes. Under some certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

The estimation of parameters from data is a common problem in many areas of the physical sciences, and frequently used algorithms rely on sets of simulated data which are fit to data. In this article, an analytic solution for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-27 Daniel Britzger

This study utilized the Gaussian Processes (GPs) regression framework to establish stochastic error bounds between the actual and predicted state evolution of nonlinear systems. These systems are embedded in the linear parameter-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Dimitrios S. Karachalios , Hossam S. Abbas

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

Adaptive Langevin dynamics is a method for sampling the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution at prescribed temperature in cases where the potential gradient is subject to stochastic perturbation of unknown magnitude. The method replaces the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Benedict Leimkuhler , Matthias Sachs , Gabriel Stoltz

We study the problem of distributed adaptive estimation over networks where nodes cooperate to estimate physical parameters that can vary over both space and time domains. We use a set of basis functions to characterize the space-varying…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-22 Reza Abdolee , Benoit Champagne , Ali H. Sayed

This paper considers the distributed sparse identification problem over wireless sensor networks such that all sensors cooperatively estimate the unknown sparse parameter vector of stochastic dynamic systems by using the local information…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-08 Die Gan , Zhixin Liu

Model uncertainty quantification is an essential component of effective data assimilation. Model errors associated with sub-grid scale processes are often represented through stochastic parameterizations of the unresolved process. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Sahani Pathiraja , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

For the Langevin model of the dynamics of a Brownian particle with perturbations orthogonal to its current velocity, in a regime when the particle velocity modulus becomes constant, an equation for the characteristic function $\psi…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-01 V. A. Doobko , S. V. Zubarev , E. V. Karachanskaya

We consider a network of sensors deployed to sense a spatio-temporal field and estimate a parameter of interest. We are interested in the case where the temporal process sensed by each sensor can be modeled as a state-space process that is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2008-04-12 S. Sundhar Ram , V. V. Veeravalli , A. Nedic

We develop a general framework for estimating function-valued parameters under equality or inequality constraints in infinite-dimensional statistical models. Such constrained learning problems are common across many areas of statistics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Razieh Nabi , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , David Benkeser

Latent variable models are powerful tools for modeling complex phenomena involving in particular partially observed data, unobserved variables or underlying complex unknown structures. Inference is often difficult due to the latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Charlotte Baey , Maud Delattre , Estelle Kuhn , Jean-Benoist Leger , Sarah Lemler

In this paper we present a formulation of the nonlinear stochastic differential equation which allows for systematic approximations. The method is not restricted to the asymptotic, i.e., stationary, regime but can be applied to derive…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 A. Crisanti , U. Marini Bettolo Marconi

We present a novel and flexible data-driven framework for estimating the response of higher-order moments of nonlinear stochastic systems to small external perturbations. The classical Generalized Fluctuation--Dissipation Theorem (GFDT)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini , Fabrizio Falasca , Andre N. Souza
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