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This paper presents a new parameter estimation method for It\^{o} diffusions such that the resulting model predicts the equilibrium statistics as well as the sensitivities of the underlying system to external disturbances. Our formulation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 John Harlim , Xiantao Li , He Zhang

This paper presents a numerical method to implement the parameter estimation method using response statistics that was recently formulated by the authors. The proposed approach formulates the parameter estimation problem of It\^o drift…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-05 He Zhang , Xiantao Li , John Harlim

Using equilibrium fluctuations to understand the response of a physical system to an externally imposed perturbation is the basis for linear response theory, which is widely used to interpret experiments and shed light on microscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-24 Jérémie Klinger , Grant M. Rotskoff

The unique fluctuation-dissipation theorem for equilibrium stands in contrast with the wide variety of nonequilibrium linear response formulae. Their most traditional approach is "analytic", which, in the absence of detailed balance,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-21 Marco Baiesi , Christian Maes

Many physical systems characterized by nonlinear multiscale interactions can be effectively modeled by treating unresolved degrees of freedom as random fluctuations. However, even when the microscopic governing equations and qualitative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-07 Jared L. Callaham , Jean-Christophe Loiseau , Georgios Rigas , Steven L. Brunton

We introduce a response-theoretic framework that recasts parameter calibration of ergodic stochastic differential equations as a fluctuation-dissipation problem. Our central result is that the full Jacobian of any stationary observable with…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-02 Ludovico T. Giorgini , Tobias Bischoff , Andre N. Souza

The recently developed short-time linear response algorithm, which predicts the average response of a nonlinear chaotic system with forcing and dissipation to small external perturbation, generally yields high precision of the response…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Rafail V. Abramov

We consider the estimation of a non-linear reaction term in the stochastic heat or more generally in a semi-linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). Consistent inference is achieved by studying a small diffusivity level,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Sascha Gaudlitz , Markus Reiß

We study filtering of multiscale dynamical systems with model error arising from unresolved smaller scale processes. The analysis assumes continuous-time noisy observations of all components of the slow variables alone. For a linear model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

Pervasive across diverse domains, stochastic systems exhibit fluctuations in processes ranging from molecular dynamics to climate phenomena. The Langevin equation has served as a common mathematical model for studying such systems, enabling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-01 Youngkyoung Bae , Seungwoong Ha , Hawoong Jeong

Motivated by stochastic convection-diffusion problems we derive a posteriori error estimates for non-stationary non-linear convection-diffusion equations acting as a deterministic paradigm. The problem considered here neither fits into the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Rüdiger Verfürth

Stochastic reaction-diffusion models can be analytically studied on complex networks using the linear noise approximation. This is illustrated through the use of a specific stochastic model, which displays traveling waves in its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-16 Malbor Asllani , Tommaso Biancalani , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The measured time series from complex systems are renowned for their intricate stochastic behavior, characterized by random fluctuations stemming from external influences and nonlinear interactions. These fluctuations take diverse forms,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-19 Pyei Phyo Lin , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

Predicting how systems respond to external perturbations far from equilibrium remains a fundamental challenge across physics, chemistry, and biology. We present a unified response framework for stochastic Markov dynamics that integrates…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-13 Jiming Zheng , Zhiyue Lu

Analysis and synthesis of safety-critical autonomous systems are carried out using models which are often dynamic. Two central features of these dynamic systems are parameters and unmodeled dynamics. This paper addresses the use of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-17 Arnab Sarker , Peter Fisher , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

We construct Langevin equations describing the fluctuations of the tensor order parameter $Q_{\alpha\beta}$ in nematic liquid crystals by adding noise terms to time-dependent variational equations that follow from the Ginzburg-Landau-de…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-01-07 A. K. Bhattacharjee , Gautam I. Menon , R. Adhikari

The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov

We address the problem of estimating unknown model parameters and state variables in stochastic reaction processes when only sparse and noisy measurements are available. Using an asymptotic system size expansion for the backward equation we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-07-02 Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

Many complex systems operating far from the equilibrium exhibit stochastic dynamics that can be described by a Langevin equation. Inferring Langevin equations from data can reveal how transient dynamics of such systems give rise to their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-01 Mikhail Genkin , Owen Hughes , Tatiana A. Engel
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