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Economic growth is unpredictable unless demand is quantified. We solve this problem by introducing the demand for unpaid spare time and a user quantity named human capacity. It organizes and amplifies spare time required for enjoying…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-13 Hans G. Danielmeyer , Thomas Martinetz

This paper develops a novel method to estimate firm-specific market-entry thresholds in international economics, allowing fixed costs to vary across firms alongside productivity. Our framework models market entry as an interaction between…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-15 Peter H. Egger , Yulong Wang

Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

We address the stability problem for linear switching systems with mode-dependent restrictions on the switching intervals. Their lengths can be bounded as from below (the guaranteed dwell-time) as from above. The upper bounds make this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Vladimir Yu. Protasov , Rinat Kamalov

Theoretical ecology has traditionally equated persistence with the stability of a fixed equilibrium point. Here we argue that the primary threat to ecosystem persistence need not be the loss of stability, but instead the escape of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-24 Cagatay Eskin , Vu Nguyen , Dervis Can Vural

We explore the nonlinear dynamics of a macroeconomic model with resource constraints. The dynamics is derived from a production function that considers capital and a generalized form of energy as inputs. Energy, the new variable, is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-30 Frank Schweitzer , Giona Casiraghi

In developing the theory of long-run competitive equilibrium (LRCE), Marshall (1890) used the notion of a representative firm. The identity of this firm, however, remained unclear. Subsequent theory either focused on the case where all…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-25 Ignacio Esponda , Demian Pouzo

This paper addresses the statistical properties of time series driven by rational bubbles a la Blanchard and Watson (1982), corresponding to multiplicative maps, whose study has recently be revived recently in physics as a mechanism of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Thomas Lux , D. Sornette

We study how firm heterogeneity and market power affect macroeconomic fragility, defined as the probability of long slumps. We propose a theory in which the positive interaction between firm entry, competition and factor supply can give…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-13 Alessandro Ferrari , Francisco Queirós

The minimum entropy production principle provides an approximative variational characterization of close-to-equilibrium stationary states, both for macroscopic systems and for stochastic models. Analyzing the fluctuations of the empirical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-05 C. Maes , K. Netocny

We introduce a solvable model of randomly growing systems consisting of many independent subunits. Scaling relations and growth rate distributions in the limit of infinite subunits are analysed theoretically. Various types of scaling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Misako Takayasu , Hayafumi Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu

A central question in economics is whether automation will displace human labor and diminish standards of living. Whilst prior works typically frame this question as a competition between human labor and machines, we frame it as a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-28 B. N. Kausik

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

This paper studies a discrete-time version of the Lucas-Uzawa endogenous growth model with physical and human capital in the presence of externalities. Existence of an optimal equilibrium is proved using tools from dynamic programming with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Luis Alcala

This paper uses firm-level data recorded in the AMADEUS database to investigate the distribution of labour productivity in different European countries. We find that the upper tail of the empirical productivity distributions follows a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-01-31 C. Di Guilmi , F. Clementi , T. Di Matteo , M. Gallegati

We propose and study a stochastic capital-labour model with logistic growth function. First, we show that the model has a unique positive global solution. Then, using the Lyapunov analysis method, we obtain conditions for the extinction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Houssine Zine , Jaouad Danane , Delfim F. M. Torres

In join the shortest queue networks, incoming jobs are assigned to the shortest queue from among a randomly chosen subset of $D$ queues, in a system of $N$ queues; after completion of service at its queue, a job leaves the network. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Maury Bramson , Yi Lu , Balaji Prabhakar

This paper investigates the statistical properties of within-country GDP and industrial production (IP) growth rate distributions. Many empirical contributions have recently pointed out that cross-section growth rates of firms, industries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Giorgio Fagiolo , Mauro Napoletano , Andrea Roventini

The emergence of heavy-tailed statistics in complex systems is conventionally attributed to non-local stochastic jumps or non-Markovian memory. Here, we present a one-dimensional random walk where power-law behaviors arise instead from a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-25 Henrique S. Lima , Evaldo M. F. Curado

We derive equations of motion for capital deepening in a competitive economy directly from accounting identities, without assuming a production function. A profit imperative $\eta^* \equiv (w/\kappa + 1/\tau)/(1-f_p)$ sets the minimum…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-28 Robert T. Nachtrieb