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Quantifying uncertainty in predictions or, more generally, estimating the posterior conditional distribution, is a core challenge in machine learning and statistics. We introduce Convex Nonparanormal Regression (CNR), a conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-15 Yonatan Woodbridge , Gal Elidan , Ami Wiesel

Quantifying the difference between two probability density functions, $p$ and $q$, using available data, is a fundamental problem in Statistics and Machine Learning. A usual approach for addressing this problem is the likelihood-ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Alejandro de la Concha , Nicolas Vayatis , Argyris Kalogeratos

In distributionally robust optimization the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain, and a fictitious adversary, e.g., nature, chooses the worst distribution from within a known ambiguity set. A…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Etienne de Klerk , Daniel Kuhn , Krzysztof Postek

This paper introduces a framework for Chance-Constrained Optimization with Complex Variables, addressing complex linear programming for both individual and joint probabilistic constraints in the complex domain. We first analyze the 3CP…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Raneem Madani , Abdel Lisser , Zeno Toffano

In this paper, an information theoretic analysis on non-adaptive group testing schemes based on sparse pooling graphs is presented. The binary status of the objects to be tested are modeled by i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-29 Tadashi Wadayama

We consider the problem of classification of points sampled from an unknown probability measure on a Euclidean space. We study the question of querying the class label at a very small number of judiciously chosen points so as to be able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Alexander Cloninger , Hrushikesh Mhaskar

Parametric inference posits a statistical model that is a specified family of probability distributions. Restricted inference, e.g., restricted likelihood ratio testing, attempts to exploit the structure of a statistical submodel that is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Michael W. Trosset , Carey E. Priebe

A novel extension of the Probabilistic Learning on Manifolds (PLoM) is presented. It makes it possible to synthesize solutions to a wide range of nonlinear stochastic boundary value problems described by partial differential equations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-07 Christian Soize , Roger Ghanem

This work is concern with testing the low-dimensional parameters of interest with divergent dimensional data and variable selection for the rest under the sparse case. A consistent test via the partial penalized likelihood approach, called…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-20 Shanshan Wang , Hengjian Cui

Designing models that are both expressive and preserve known invariances of tasks is an increasingly hard problem. Existing solutions tradeoff invariance for computational or memory resources. In this work, we show how to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Leonardo Cotta , Gal Yehuda , Assaf Schuster , Chris J. Maddison

The problem of developing binary classifiers from positive and unlabeled data is often encountered in machine learning. A common requirement in this setting is to approximate posterior probabilities of positive and negative classes for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-11 Shantanu Jain , Martha White , Michael W. Trosset , Predrag Radivojac

Probabilistic models are often trained by maximum likelihood, which corresponds to minimizing a specific f-divergence between the model and data distribution. In light of recent successes in training Generative Adversarial Networks,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Mingtian Zhang , Thomas Bird , Raza Habib , Tianlin Xu , David Barber

This paper studies an approximation method for the log-likelihood function of a nonlinear diffusion process using the bridge of the diffusion. The main result (Theorem \refthm:approx) shows that this approximation converges uniformly to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-11 Aleksandar Mijatović , Paul Schneider

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We introduce the first probabilistic framework tailored for sequential random projection, an approach rooted in the challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty. The analysis is complicated by the sequential dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Yingru Li

Non-parametric methods avoid the problem of having to specify a particular data generating mechanism, but can be computationally intensive, reducing their accessibility for large data problems. Empirical likelihood, a non-parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Growing-dimensional data with likelihood unavailable are often encountered in various fields. This paper presents a penalized exponentially tilted likelihood (PETL) for variable selection and parameter estimation for growing dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Nian-Sheng Tang , Xiao-Dong Yan , Pu-Ying Zhao

Binomial data with unknown sizes often appear in biological and medical sciences. The previous methods either use the Poisson approximation or the quasi-likelihood approach. A full likelihood approach is proposed by treating unknown sizes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Zhang

We introduce a constrained optimization framework for training transformers that behave like optimization descent algorithms. Specifically, we enforce layerwise descent constraints on the objective function and replace standard empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Samar Hadou , Alejandro Ribeiro

Likelihood ratios are used for a variety of applications in particle physics data analysis, including parameter estimation, unfolding, and anomaly detection. When the data are high-dimensional, neural networks provide an effective tools for…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-03-27 Fernando Torales Acosta , Tanvi Wamorkar , Vinicius Mikuni , Benjamin Nachman