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Covariance matrices are important tools for obtaining reliable parameter constraints. Advancements in cosmological surveys lead to larger data vectors and, consequently, increasingly complex covariance matrices, whose number of elements…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-31 Tassia Ferreira , Valerio Marra

Estimating covariance matrices with high-dimensional complex data presents significant challenges, particularly concerning positive definiteness, sparsity, and numerical stability. Existing robust sparse estimators often fail to guarantee…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Shaoxin Wang , Ziyun Ma

Portfolio optimization involves selecting asset weights to minimize a risk-reward objective, such as the portfolio variance in the classical minimum-variance framework. Sparse portfolio selection extends this by imposing a cardinality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-16 Sarat Moka , Matias Quiroz , Vali Asimit , Samuel Muller

With the growing application of spatial predictive modeling in ecology, the question of how to appropriately evaluate the resulting maps has gained increasing attention. While there is consensus that map accuracy is ideally estimated using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Jan Linnenbrink , Jakub Nowosad , Hanna Meyer

In this paper, we document a novel machine learning based bottom-up approach for static and dynamic portfolio optimization on, potentially, a large number of assets. The methodology applies to general constrained optimization problems and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Qing Yang , Zhenning Hong , Ruyan Tian , Tingting Ye , Liangliang Zhang

The measure of portfolio risk is an important input of the Markowitz framework. In this study, we explored various methods to obtain a robust covariance estimators that are less susceptible to financial data noise. We evaluated the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-04 Qiqin Zhou

The tuning parameter selection strategy for penalized estimation is crucial to identify a model that is both interpretable and predictive. However, popular strategies (e.g., minimizing average squared prediction error via cross-validation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Julia Holter , Jonathan Stallrich

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

The Markowitz mean-variance portfolio optimization model aims to balance expected return and risk when investing. However, there is a significant limitation when solving large portfolio optimization problems efficiently: the large and dense…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 Cassidy K. Buhler , Hande Y. Benson

The Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) method is a highly robust estimator of multivariate location and scatter, for which a fast algorithm is available. Since estimating the covariance matrix is the cornerstone of many multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Mia Hubert , Michiel Debruyne , Peter J. Rousseeuw

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Bilel Bousselmi , Gabriela Ciuperca

Systematic trading strategies are rule-based procedures which choose portfolios and allocate assets. In order to attain certain desired return profiles, quantitative strategists must determine a large array of trading parameters.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-14 Adriano Koshiyama , Nick Firoozye

We examine machine learning and factor-based portfolio optimization. We find that factors based on autoencoder neural networks exhibit a weaker relationship with commonly used characteristic-sorted portfolios than popular dimensionality…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Thomas Conlon , John Cotter , Iason Kynigakis

Matrix valued data has become increasingly prevalent in many applications. Most of the existing clustering methods for this type of data are tailored to the mean model and do not account for the dependence structure of the features, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-07 Inbeom Lee , Siyi Deng , Yang Ning

Shrinkage can effectively improve the condition number and accuracy of covariance matrix estimation, especially for low-sample-support applications with the number of training samples smaller than the dimensionality. This paper investigates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Jun Tong , Rui Hu , Jiangtao Xi , Zhitao Xiao , Qinghua Guo , Yanguang Yu

High dimensionality comparable to sample size is common in many statistical problems. We examine covariance matrix estimation in the asymptotic framework that the dimensionality $p$ tends to $\infty$ as the sample size $n$ increases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

This paper studies the covariance matrix estimation for high-dimensional time series within a new framework that combines low-rank factor and latent variable-specific cluster structures. The popular methods based on assuming the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Cheng Yu

The geometric median covariation matrix is a robust multivariate indicator of dispersion which can be extended without any difficulty to functional data. We define estimators, based on recursive algorithms, that can be simply updated at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Hervé Cardot , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

The Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) approach robustly estimates the location and scatter matrix using the subset of given size with lowest sample covariance determinant. Its main drawback is that it cannot be applied when the dimension…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Kris Boudt , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Steven Vanduffel , Tim Verdonck
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