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We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

We show that the contact process on a random $d$-regular graph initiated by a single infected vertex obeys the "cutoff phenomenon" in its supercritical phase. In particular, we prove that when the infection rate is larger than the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Steven Lalley , Wei Su

We present general results for the contact process by a method which applies to all transitive graphs of bounded degree, including graphs of exponential growth. The model's infection rates are varied through a control parameter, for which…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-29 Michael Aizenman , Paul Jung

We study the contact process on a class of geometric random graphs with scale-free degree distribution, defined on a Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This class includes the age-dependent random connection model and the soft Boolean…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Peter Gracar , Arne Grauer

In this paper, we prove lower and upper bounds for the extinction time of the contact process on random geometric graphs with connecting radius tending to infinity. We obtain that for any infection rate $\lambda >0$, the contact process on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Van Hao Can

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$, the ratio $W_n:=Z_n/m^n$ has a.s. limit, say $W$. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of $W_n$ and $W$ in the case where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider the set of random Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees with a bounded number of offspring and bounded number of generations as a statistical mechanics model: a random tree is a rooted subtree of the maximal tree; the spin at a given…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-26 Francois Dunlop , Arif Mardin

We consider the asymptotics of various estimators based on a large sample of branching trees from a critical multi-type Galton-Watson process, as the sample size increases to infinity. The asymptotics of additive functions of trees, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhiyi Chi

In this paper, we derive a precise estimate for the mean extinction time of the contact process with a fixed infection rate on a star graph with $N$ leaves. Specifically, we determine not only the exponential main factor but also the exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Younghun Jo

We consider the contact process on finite and connected graphs and study the behavior of the extinction time, that is, the amount of time that it takes for the infection to disappear in the process started from full occupancy. We prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

If we consider the contact process with infection rate $\lambda$ on a random graph on $n$ vertices with power law degree distributions, mean field calculations suggest that the critical value $\lambda_c$ of the infection rate is positive if…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-10 Shirshendu Chatterjee , Rick Durrett

We consider the contact process on a dynamic graph defined as a random $d$-regular graph with a stationary edge-switching dynamics. In this graph dynamics, independently of the contact process state, each pair $\{e_1,e_2\}$ of edges of the…

We consider an interacting particle system on trees known as the frog model: initially, a single active particle begins at the root and i.i.d.~$\mathrm{Poiss}(\lambda)$ many inactive particles are placed at each non-root vertex. Active…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Marcus Michelen , Josh Rosenberg

The reproduction speed of a continuous-time branching random walk is proportional to a positive parameter $\lambda$. There is a threshold for $\lambda$, which is called $\lambda_w$, that separates almost sure global extinction from global…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Daniela Bertacchi , Cristian F. Coletti , Fabio Zucca

We study one specific version of the contact process on a graph. Here, we allow multiple infections carried by the nodes and include a probability of removing nodes in a graph. The removal probability is purely determined by the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Xu Huang

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

In this paper we study the metastability of the contact process on a random regular graph. We show that the extinction time of the contact process, when initialized so that all vertices are infected at time 0, grows exponentially with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Wei Su

We study the contact process on the complete graph on $n$ vertices where the rate at which the infection travels along the edge connecting vertices $i$ and $j$ is equal to $ \lambda w_i w_j / n$ for some $\lambda >0$, where $w_i$ are i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Jonathon Peterson

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We consider a variant of this process on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees, where vertices are equipped with a random fitness representing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese

We study the survival/extinction phase transition for contact processes with quenched disorder. The disorder is given by a locally finite random graph with vertices indexed by the integers that is assumed to be invariant under index shifts…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch