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Related papers: Risk bounds for reservoir computing

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Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

Analysing statistical properties of neural networks is a central topic in statistics and machine learning. However, most results in the literature focus on the properties of the neural network minimizing the training error. The goal of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Laura Tinsi , Arnak S. Dalalyan

For a reservoir computer composed of a single nonlinear node and delay line, we show that after a finite period of discrete time, the distance between two reservoir outputs is bounded above by a constant multiple of the distance between…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Claudio A. DiMarco

This paper establishes asymptotic results for the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators of the parameters in the nested error regression model for clustered data when both of the number of independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

This paper considers a single-trajectory system identification problem for linear systems under general nonlinear and/or time-varying policies with i.i.d. random excitation noises. The problem is motivated by safe learning-based control for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Yingying Li , Tianpeng Zhang , Subhro Das , Jeff Shamma , Na Li

This paper considers batch Reinforcement Learning (RL) with general value function approximation. Our study investigates the minimal assumptions to reliably estimate/minimize Bellman error, and characterizes the generalization performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Yaqi Duan , Chi Jin , Zhiyuan Li

Estimation of individual treatment effects is commonly used as the basis for contextual decision making in fields such as healthcare, education, and economics. However, it is often sufficient for the decision maker to have estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Maggie Makar , Fredrik D. Johansson , John Guttag , David Sontag

Quantum reservoir computing is a machine-learning approach designed to exploit the dynamics of quantum systems with memory to process information. As an advantage, it presents the possibility to benefit from the quantum resources provided…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-29 Pere Mujal

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees for controlling the expected loss at a user-specified level. Existing theory typically assumes that the loss decreases monotonically with a tuning parameter that governs the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Tareq Aldirawi , Yun Li , Wenge Guo

Discrete-time stochastic systems are an essential modelling tool for many engineering systems. We consider stochastic control systems that are evolving over continuous spaces. For this class of models, methods for the formal verification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

We study the propagation and distribution of information-carrying signals injected in dynamical systems serving as a reservoir computers. A multivariate correlation analysis in tailored replica tests reveals consistency spectra and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-05-31 Thomas Jüngling , Thomas Lymburn , Michael Small

Complex dynamical systems-such as climate, ecosystems, and economics-can undergo catastrophic and potentially irreversible regime changes, often triggered by environmental parameter drift and stochastic disturbances. These critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xin Li , Qunxi Zhu , Chengli Zhao , Bolin Zhao , Xue Zhang , Xiaojun Duan , Wei Lin

We exploit recent results in quantifying the robustness of neural networks to input variations to construct and tune a model-based anomaly detector, where the data-driven estimator model is provided by an autoregressive neural network. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Navid Hashemi , Mahyar Fazlyab , Justin Ruths

Stochastic boundary conditions for interactions with a particle reservoir are discussed in many-particle systems. We introduce the boundary conditions with the injection rate and the momentum distribution of particles coming from a particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-26 Tooru Taniguchi , Shin-ichi Sawada

As the complexity of control systems increases, the need for systematic methods to guarantee their efficacy grows as well. However, direct testing of these systems is oftentimes costly, difficult, or impractical. As a result, the test and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 Prithvi Akella , Ugo Rosolia , Aaron D. Ames

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

Tuning parameters are parameters involved in an estimating procedure for the purpose of reducing the risk of some other estimator. Examples include the degree of penalization in penalized regression and likelihood problems, as well as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Ingrid Dæhlen , Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Hobæk Haff

Machine learning models have traditionally been developed under the assumption that the training and test distributions match exactly. However, recent success in few-shot learning and related problems are encouraging signs that these models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-15 James Lucas , Mengye Ren , Irene Kameni , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Model selection is often performed by empirical risk minimization. The quality of selection in a given situation can be assessed by risk bounds, which require assumptions both on the margin and the tails of the losses used. Starting with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Charles Mitchell , Sara van de Geer