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Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models often underperform compared to simpler climatology-based precipitation forecasts in northern tropical Africa, even after statistical postprocessing. AI-based forecasting models show promise but have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Athul Rasheeda Satheesh , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink

Meteorological forecasting provides reliable prediction about the future weather within a given interval of time. Meteorological forecasting can be viewed as a form of hybrid diagnostic reasoning and can be mapped onto an integrated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Matteo Cristani , Francesco Domenichini , Claudio Tomazzoli , Luca Viganò , Margherita Zorzi

A 'nowcast' is a type of weather forecast which makes predictions in the very short term, typically less than two hours - a period in which traditional numerical weather prediction can be limited. This type of weather prediction has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-12 Rachel Prudden , Samantha Adams , Dmitry Kangin , Niall Robinson , Suman Ravuri , Shakir Mohamed , Alberto Arribas

Groundwater level prediction is an applied time series forecasting task with important social impacts to optimize water management as well as preventing some natural disasters: for instance, floods or severe droughts. Machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Michael Franklin Mbouopda , Thomas Guyet , Nicolas Labroche , Abel Henriot

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

Time series forecasting is one of the most active research topics. Machine learning methods have been increasingly adopted to solve these predictive tasks. However, in a recent work, these were shown to systematically present a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Motion forecasting plays a significant role in various domains (e.g., autonomous driving, human-robot interaction), which aims to predict future motion sequences given a set of historical observations. However, the observed elements may be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Jiachen Li , Fan Yang , Hengbo Ma , Srikanth Malla , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Chiho Choi

Precipitation plays a critical role in the Earth's hydrological cycle, directly affecting ecosystems, agriculture, and water resource management. Accurate precipitation estimation and prediction are crucial for understanding climate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Zhenyu Yu , Hanqing Chen , Mohd Yamani Idna Idris , Pei Wang

Machine learning has been increasingly applied in climate modeling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting, and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale…

Advances in deep learning systems have allowed large models to match or surpass human accuracy on a number of skills such as image classification, basic programming, and standardized test taking. As the performance of the most capable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Sarah Pratt , Seth Blumberg , Pietro Kreitlon Carolino , Meredith Ringel Morris

Rainfall prediction at the kilometre-scale up to a few hours in the future is key for planning and safety. But it is challenging given the complex influence of climate change on cloud processes and the limited skill of weather models at…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 S. Moran , B. Demir , F. Serva , B. Le Saux

Accurate and timely prediction of heavy rainfall events is crucial for effective flood risk management and disaster preparedness. By monitoring, analysing, and evaluating rainfall data at a local level, it is not only possible to take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Edwin Salcedo

The accuracy of machine learning systems is a widely studied research topic. Established techniques such as cross-validation predict the accuracy on unseen data of the classifier produced by applying a given learning method to a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-06 J. E. Smith , P. Caleb-Solly , M. A. Tahir , D. Sannen , H. van-Brussel

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

Machine Learning approaches are good in solving problems that have less information. In most cases, the software domain problems characterize as a process of learning that depend on the various circumstances and changes accordingly. A…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-06-26 Saiqa Aleem , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Faheem Ahmed

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Muhammed Sit , Ibrahim Demir

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Manmeet Singh , Bipin Kumar , Suryachandra Rao , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Ravi S Nanjundiah , Dev Niyogi

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…