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In this paper we study systems of $N$ uniformly expanding coupled maps when $N$ is finite but large. We introduce self-consistent transfer operators that approximate the evolution of measures under the dynamics, and quantify this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Matteo Tanzi

A multivariate score-driven filter is developed to extract signals from noisy vector processes. By assuming that the conditional location vector from a multivariate Student's t distribution changes over time, we construct a robust filter…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-31 Enzo D'Innocenzo , Alessandra Luati , Mario Mazzocchi

This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-08 A. Gabrielsen , P. Zagaglia , A. Kirchner , Z. Liu

We consider robust covariance estimation with group symmetry constraints. Non-Gaussian covariance estimation, e.g., Tyler scatter estimator and Multivariate Generalized Gaussian distribution methods, usually involve non-convex minimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-19 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

For a discrete-time linear system, we use data from a single open-loop experiment to design directly a feedback controller enforcing that a given (polyhedral) set of the state is invariant and given (polyhedral) constraints on the control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-23 Andrea Bisoffi , Claudio De Persis , Pietro Tesi

We consider a random walk on $\R^d$ in a polynomially mixing random environment that is refreshed at each time step. We use a martingale approach to give a necessary and sufficient condition for the almost-sure functional central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Mathew Joseph , Firas Rassoul-Agha

In this paper, we obtain sufficient and necessary conditions of some classical convex sets as positively invariant sets for a continuous dynamical system, namely positive invariance conditions. The approach is based on Nagumo Theorem by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Yunfei Song

The Exponential-family Random Graph Model (ERGM) is a powerful model to fit networks with complex structures. However, for dynamic valued networks whose observations are matrices of counts that evolve over time, the development of the ERGM…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yik Lun Kei , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We introduce the concept of multi-sensitivity with respect to a vector for a non-autonomous discrete system. We prove that for a periodic non-autonomous system on the closed unit interval, sensitivity is equivalent to strong…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Mohammad Salman , Ruchi Das

This paper explores the fundamental limits of a simple system, inspired by the intermittent Kalman filtering model, where the actuation direction is drawn uniformly from the unit hypersphere. The model allows us to focus on a fundamental…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Rahul Arya , Chih-Yuan Chiu , Gireeja Ranade

The aim of this paper is to explore the relationship between invariant cones and nonlinear normal modes in piecewise linear mechanical systems. As a key result, we extend the invariant cone concept, originally established for homogeneous…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-21 A. Yassine Karoui , Remco I. Leine

In this paper we present a conditional principle of Gibbs type for independent nonidentically distributed random vectors. We obtain this result by performing Edgeworth expansions for densities of sums of independent random vectors.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Dimbihery Rabenoro

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

We obtain the first results on convergence rates in the Prokhorov metric for the weak invariance principle (functional central limit theorem) for deterministic dynamical systems. Our results hold for uniformly expanding/hyperbolic (Axiom A)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Marios Antoniou , Ian Melbourne

This paper derives a new strong Gaussian approximation bound for the sum of independent random vectors. The approach relies on the optimal transport theory and yields \textit{explicit} dependence on the dimension size $p$ and the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-06 Nazar Buzun , Nikolay Shvetsov , Dmitry V. Dylov

In this note we consider continuous-time systems x'(t) = A(t) x(t) + B(t) u(t), y(t) = C(t) x(t) + D(t) u(t), as well as discrete-time systems x(t+1) = A(t) x(t) + B(t) u(t), y(t) = C(t) x(t) + D(t) u(t) whose coefficient matrices A, B, C…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-03 Gunther Reissig , Christoph Hartung , Ferdinand Svaricek

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

This paper is concerned with the study of the stability of dynamical systems evolving on time scales. We first {formalize the notion of matrix measures on time scales, prove some of their key properties and make use of this notion to study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Giovanni Russo , Fabian Wirth

This paper proposes a computationally efficient framework, based on interval analysis, for rigorous verification of nonlinear continuous-time dynamical systems with neural network controllers. Given a neural network, we use an existing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Saber Jafarpour , Akash Harapanahalli , Samuel Coogan

This work investigates a class of non-autonomous $T$-periodic piecewise smooth differential systems and their associated time-$T$ maps. Our main result provides an analytical approach for detecting, within this class of piecewise…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Murilo R. Cândido , Douglas D. Novaes , Joan S. G. Rivera