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Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

This paper generalizes the traditional statistical concept of prediction intervals for arbitrary probability density functions in high-dimensional feature spaces by introducing significance level distributions, which provides…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2008-09-22 Steffen Kuehn

Spaces of convex and concave functions appear naturally in theory and applications. For example, convex regression and log-concave density estimation are important topics in nonparametric statistics. In stochastic portfolio theory, concave…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Peter Baxendale , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

A novel type of trajectory on semiflows, called asymptotically unpredictable, was proposed by Fen and Tokmak Fen [15]. The presence of sensitivity, which is an indispensable feature of chaotic dynamics, is a crucial property that arises…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Mehmet Onur Fen , Fatma Tokmak Fen

Motivated by extending the functional stochastic calculus, to important functionals to which it does not apply, a notion of functional derivative along a curve is introduced. This new setting is developed by incorporating path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Christian Houdré , Jorge Víquez

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

Determining functionals are tools to describe the finite dimensional long-term dynamics of infinite dimensional dynamical systems. There also exist several applications to infinite dimensional {\em random} dynamical systems. In these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Igor Chueshov , Jinqiao Duan , Björn Schmalfuß

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

This paper examines the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the probability distribution function (pdf) of a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-04-16 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

A new geometric procedure to construct symplectic methods for constrained mechanical systems is developed in this paper. The definition of a map coming from the notion of retraction maps allows to adapt the continuous problem to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-10 María Barbero Liñán , David Martín de Diego , Rodrigo T. Sato Martín de Almagro

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

The problem of determining the mathematical model of the dynamics of multi-dimensional control systems in the presence of noise under the condition that the correlation functions cannot be found. Known statistical dynamics of linear systems…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2013-01-29 V. N. Tibabishev

We propose learning flexible but interpretable functions that aggregate a variable-length set of permutation-invariant feature vectors to predict a label. We use a deep lattice network model so we can architect the model structure to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Andrew Cotter , Maya Gupta , Heinrich Jiang , James Muller , Taman Narayan , Serena Wang , Tao Zhu

One fundamental problem in studying dynamical process is whether it is possible and how to construct prediction model for an unknown system via sampled time series, especially in the modern big data era. The research in this area is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Xiao-Song Yang

Human decision-makers often receive assistance from data-driven algorithmic systems that provide a score for evaluating objects, including individuals. The scores are generated by a function (mechanism) that takes a set of features as input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Abolfazl Asudeh , H. V. Jagadish

Flow-based generative models have demonstrated promising performance across a broad spectrum of data modalities (e.g., image and text). However, there are few works exploring their extension to unordered data (e.g., spatial point set),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Yangming Li , Chaoyu Liu , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

A sequence of large invertible matrices given by a small random perturbation around a fixed diagonal and positive matrix induces a random dynamics on a high-dimensional sphere. For a certain class of rotationally invariant random…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-29 Florian Dorsch , Hermann Schulz-Baldes

This article introduce a new model theory call non-predetermined model theory where functions and relations need not to be determined already and they are determined through time.

Logic · Mathematics 2014-08-21 Rasoul Ramezanian

Typically, real-world stochastic processes are not easy to analyze. In this work we study the representation of any stochastic process as a memoryless innovation process triggering a dynamic system. We show that such a representation is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Amichai Painsky , Saharon Rosset , Meir Feder

The problem of sequentially maximizing the expectation of a function seeks to maximize the expected value of a function of interest without having direct control on its features. Instead, the distribution of such features depends on a given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-26 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic