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This paper deals with the dimension reduction for high-dimensional time series based on common factors. In particular we allow the dimension of time series $p$ to be as large as, or even larger than, the sample size $n$. The estimation for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Clifford Lam , Qiwei Yao , Neil Bathia

This paper develops an inferential theory for state-varying factor models of large dimensions. Unlike constant factor models, loadings are general functions of some recurrent state process. We develop an estimator for the latent factors and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-20 Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong

Covariance matrix estimation is a fundamental statistical task in many applications, but the sample covariance matrix is sub-optimal when the sample size is comparable to or less than the number of features. Such high-dimensional settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Huiqin Xin , Sihai Dave Zhao

Efficient estimation of high-dimensional matrices-including covariance and precision matrices-is a cornerstone of modern multivariate statistics. Most existing studies have focused primarily on the theoretical properties of the estimators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Wan Tian , Hui Yang , Zhouhui Lian , Lingyue Zhang , Yijie Peng

We consider reduced-rank modeling of the white noise covariance matrix in a large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We first propose the reduced-rank covariance estimator under the setting where independent observations are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-09 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

Robust and reliable covariance estimates play a decisive role in financial and many other applications. An important class of estimators is based on Factor models. Here, we show by extensive Monte Carlo simulations that covariance matrices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Daniel Bartz , Kerr Hatrick , Christian W. Hesse , Klaus-Robert Müller , Steven Lemm

We discuss the issue of estimating large-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models with stochastic volatility in real-time situations where data are sampled at different frequencies. In the case of a large VAR with stochastic volatility, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-06 Sebastian Ankargren , Paulina Jonéus

Estimating a covariance matrix is central to high-dimensional data analysis. Empirical analyses of high-dimensional biomedical data, including genomics, proteomics, microbiome, and neuroimaging, among others, consistently reveal strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Yifan Yang , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

We obtain a sharp convergence rate for banded covariance matrix estimates of stationary processes. A precise order of magnitude is derived for spectral radius of sample covariance matrices. We also consider a thresholded covariance matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

In this study, a longitudinal regression model for covariance matrix outcomes is introduced. The proposal considers a multilevel generalized linear model for regressing covariance matrices on (time-varying) predictors. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Yi Zhao , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo

Data analysis in cosmology requires reliable covariance matrices. Covariance matrices derived from numerical simulations often require a very large number of realizations to be accurate. When a theoretical model for the covariance matrix…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-21 Alessandra Fumagalli , Matteo Biagetti , Alexandro Saro , Emiliano Sefusatti , Anže Slosar , Pierluigi Monaco , Alfonso Veropalumbo

In this paper we consider estimation of sparse covariance matrices and propose a thresholding procedure which is adaptive to the variability of individual entries. The estimators are fully data driven and enjoy excellent performance both…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-14 Tony Cai , Weidong Liu

The goal of this paper is to obtain expectation bounds for the deviation of large sample autocovariance matrices from their means under weak data dependence. While the accuracy of covariance matrix estimation corresponding to independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Fang Han , Yicheng Li

We introduce a high-dimensional factor model with time-varying loadings. We cover both stationary and nonstationary factors to increase the possibilities of applications. We propose an estimation procedure based on two stages. First, we…

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

The major sources of abundant data are constantly expanding with the available data collection methodologies in various applications - medical, insurance, scientific, bio-informatics and business. These data sets may be distributed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-24 Aruna Govada , Sanjay K. Sahay

We consider inference in linear regression models that is robust to heteroskedasticity and the presence of many control variables. When the number of control variables increases at the same rate as the sample size the usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Koen Jochmans

In the field of statistical learning and data analysis, estimating precision matrices (i.e., the inverse of covariance matrices) is a critical task, particularly for understanding dependency structures among variables. However, traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Zhongfeng Qin , Hao Xu , Wenhao Cui , Wan Tian

Compositional data arise in many areas of research in the natural and biomedical sciences. One prominent example is in the study of the human gut microbiome, where one can measure the relative abundance of many distinct microorganisms in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-26 Aaron J. Molstad , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Piotr M. Suder