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Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Causal inference has gained much popularity in recent years, with interests ranging from academic, to industrial, to educational, and all in between. Concurrently, the study and usage of neural networks has also grown profoundly (albeit at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Demetrios Papakostas , Andrew Herren , P. Richard Hahn , Francisco Castillo

We consider the avoidance of patterns in inversion sequences that relate sorting via sorting machines including data structures such as pop stacks and stacks. Such machines have been studied under a variety of additional constraints and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Toufik Mansour , Howard Skogman , Rebecca Smith

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

We present and analyze deterministic complex networks of pulse-coupled oscillators that exhibits recurrent events comprised of an increase and a decline in synchrony. Events emerging from the networks may form an oscillatory behavior or may…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-03-04 Alexander Rothkegel , Klaus Lehnertz

The correlations that can be observed between a set of variables depend on the causal structure underpinning them. Causal structures can be modeled using directed acyclic graphs, where nodes represent variables and edges denote functional…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-08 Rafael Chaves , Christian Majenz , David Gross

It is widely believed that the success of deep convolutional networks is based on progressively discarding uninformative variability about the input with respect to the problem at hand. This is supported empirically by the difficulty of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-25 Jörn-Henrik Jacobsen , Arnold Smeulders , Edouard Oyallon

Causal reasoning is essential to science, yet quantum theory challenges it. Quantum correlations violating Bell inequalities defy satisfactory causal explanations within the framework of classical causal models. What is more, a theory…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-05 Jonathan Barrett , Robin Lorenz , Ognyan Oreshkov

In distributed systems where strong consistency is costly when not impossible, causal consistency provides a valuable abstraction to represent program executions as partial orders. In addition to the sequential program order of each…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Matthieu Perrin , Achour Mostefaoui , Claude Jard

In this paper we present a comprehensive view of prominent causal discovery algorithms, categorized into two main categories (1) assuming acyclic and no latent variables, and (2) allowing both cycles and latent variables, along with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Karamjit Singh , Garima Gupta , Vartika Tewari , Gautam Shroff

Inference about treatment effects for time-to-event outcomes is often obscured by the presence of competing events. A particularly complex situation arises when the treatment influences the occurrence of the competing event. A comprehensive…

Networks have in recent years emerged as an invaluable tool for describing and quantifying complex systems in many branches of science. Recent studies suggest that networks often exhibit hierarchical organization, where vertices divide into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-11-05 Aaron Clauset , Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

The broad concept of emergence is instrumental in various of the most challenging open scientific questions -- yet, few quantitative theories of what constitutes emergent phenomena have been proposed. This article introduces a formal theory…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Fernando E. Rosas , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Henrik J. Jensen , Anil K. Seth , Adam B. Barrett , Robin L. Carhart-Harris , Daniel Bor

What happens to the causal structure of a world when time is reversed? At first glance it seems there are two possible answers: the causal relations are reversed, or they are not. I argue that neither of these answers is correct: we should…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-04-15 Porter Williams

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

Knowledge of the underlying causal relations is essential for inferring the effect of interventions in complex systems. In a widely studied approach, structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among interacting variables,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Event centric approaches to modeling physics have gained traction in recent decades. In this work, we present a first principles approach to this idea, which assumes nothing but the existence of causal networks of events and their…

General Physics · Physics 2023-06-28 Sam Powers , Dejan Stojkovic

This paper presents a new approach for analysing structural properties of time series from complex systems. Starting from the concept of recurrences in phase space, the recurrence matrix of a time series is interpreted as the adjacency…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-03-03 Reik V. Donner , Y. Zou , Jonathan F. Donges , Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths

We propose an explanatory and computational theory of transformative discoveries in science. The theory is derived from a recurring theme found in a diverse range of scientific change, scientific discovery, and knowledge diffusion theories…

General Literature · Computer Science 2010-02-09 Chaomei Chen , Yue Chen , Mark Horowitz , Haiyan Hou , Zeyuan Liu , Don Pellegrino

Complex systems have interested researchers across a broad range of fields for many years and as computing has become more accesible and feasible, it is now possible to simulate aspects of these systems. A major point of research is how…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-01-16 George Hassan-Coring