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Accurate PhotoVoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting is vital for the efficient operation of Smart Grids. The automated design of such accurate forecasting models for individual PV plants includes two challenges: First, information about…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Stefan Meisenbacher , Benedikt Heidrich , Tim Martin , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

Evolutionary computing, particularly genetic algorithm (GA), is a combinatorial optimization method inspired by natural selection and the transmission of genetic information, which is widely used to identify optimal solutions to complex…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Shanqing Yu , Meng Zhou , Jintao Zhou , Minghao Zhao , Yidan Song , Yao Lu , Zeyu Wang , Qi Xuan

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing the operation and planning of PV systems, thereby enabling efficient energy management and grid integration. However, un certainties caused by fluctuating weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen , Dongxiao Zhang

Efforts to ensure reliable operation of existing low-voltage distribution systems with high photovoltaic (PV) generation have focused on the possibility of inverters providing ancillary services such as active power curtailment and reactive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Emiliano Dall'Anese , Sairaj V. Dhople , Brian B. Johnson , Georgios B. Giannakis

We propose the genetic algorithm for time window optimization, which is an embedded genetic algorithm (GA), to optimize the time window (TW) of the attributes using feature selection and support vector machine. This GA is evolved using the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-19 Norberto Ritzmann Junior , Julio Cesar Nievola

Remarkable penetration of renewable energy in electric networks, despite its valuable opportunities, such as power loss reduction and loadability improvements, has raised concerns for system operators. Such huge penetration can lead to a…

Applied Physics · Physics 2017-06-12 Hamidreza Sadeghian , Mir Hadi Athari , Zhifang Wang

We present a novel framework for spatiotemporal photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting and use it to evaluate the reliability, sharpness, and overall performance of seven intraday PV power nowcasting models. The model suite includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Luca Lanzilao , Angela Meyer

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

We describe a simple and succinct methodology to develop hourly auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) models to forecast power output from a photovoltaic solar generator. We illustrate how to build an ARMA model, to use statistical tests to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-12 Bismark Singh , David Pozo

Renewable Energies (RE) have gained more attention in recent years since they offer clean and sustainable energy. One of the major sustainable development goals (SDG-7) set by the United Nations (UN) is to achieve affordable and clean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Mehdi Hatamian , Bivas Panigrahi , Chinmaya Kumar Dehury

Nowadays, with the unprecedented penetration of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs), the necessity of an efficient energy forecasting model is more demanding than before. Generally, forecasting models are trained using observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Ahmad Shokrollahi , Elham Foruzan

We consider multi-task regression models where the observations are assumed to be a linear combination of several latent node functions and weight functions, which are both drawn from Gaussian process priors. Driven by the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Astrid Dahl , Edwin V. Bonilla

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting plays a critical role in power system dispatch and market participation. Because PV generation is highly sensitive to weather conditions and cloud motion, accurate forecasting requires effective modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Hang Fan , Haoran Pei , Runze Liang , Weican Liu , Long Cheng , Wei Wei

Photovoltaic and wind power forecasts in power systems with a high share of renewable energy are essential in several applications. These include stable grid operation, profitable power trading, and forward-looking system planning. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Stephan Vogt , Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Energy forecasting has a vital role to play in smart grid (SG) systems involving various applications such as demand-side management, load shedding, and optimum dispatch. Managing efficient forecasting while ensuring the least possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Devinder Kaur , Shama Naz Islam , Md. Apel Mahmud , Md. Enamul Haque , ZhaoYang Dong

Accurate forecasting of solar power generation with fine temporal and spatial resolution is vital for the operation of the power grid. However, state-of-the-art approaches that combine machine learning with numerical weather predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Jelena Simeunović , Baptiste Schubnel , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo

The integration of solar power has been increasing as the green energy transition rolls out. The penetration of solar power challenges the grid stability and energy scheduling, due to its intermittent energy generation. Accurate and near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jinbao Wang , Jun Liu , Shiliang Zhang , Xuehui Ma

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

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