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This paper addresses the problem of inferring a hybrid automaton from a set of input-output traces of a hybrid system exhibiting discrete mode switching between continuously evolving dynamics. Existing approaches mainly adopt a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Hengzhi Yu , Bohan Ma , Mingshuai Chen , Huangying Dong , Jie An , Bin Gu , Naijun Zhan , Jianwei Yin

Long-term, high-fidelity simulation of slow-changing physical systems, such as the ocean and climate, presents a fundamental challenge in scientific computing. Traditional autoregressive machine learning models often fail in these tasks as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Fan Xu , Yanfei Xiang , Ruijian Gou , Ruiqi Shu , Qingsong Wen , Xian Wu , Kun Wang , Xiaomeng Huang

This paper is directed towards the problem of learning nonlinear ARX models based on system input--output data. In particular, our interest is in learning a conditional distribution of the current output based on a finite window of past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Johannes N. Hendriks , Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Antônio H. Ribeiro , Adrian G. Wills , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper, we propose multi-variable LSTM capable of accurate forecasting and variable importance interpretation for time series with exogenous variables. Current attention mechanism in recurrent neural networks mostly focuses on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Tian Guo , Tao Lin

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

It is essential to find solar predictive methods to massively insert renewable energies on the electrical distribution grid. The goal of this study is to find the best methodology allowing predicting with high accuracy the hourly global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Cyril Voyant , C. Darras , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet , Philippe Poggi

The rapid growth of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems necessitates advanced methods for performance monitoring and anomaly detection to ensure optimal operation. In this study, we propose a novel approach leveraging Temporal Graph Neural…

Short term load forecasts will play a key role in the implementation of smart electricity grids. They are required to optimise a wide range of potential network solutions on the low voltage (LV) grid, including integrating low carbon…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis , Florian Ziel , Siddharth Arora

Contemporary power grids are being challenged by rapid voltage fluctuations that are caused by large-scale deployment of renewable generation, electric vehicles, and demand response programs. In this context, monitoring the grid's operating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Liang Zhang , Gang Wang , Georgios B. Giannakis

Forecasting time series with extreme events has been a challenging and prevalent research topic, especially when the time series data are affected by complicated uncertain factors, such as is the case in hydrologic prediction. Diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Yanhong Li , Jack Xu , David C. Anastasiu

Clearsky models are widely used in solar energy for many applications such as quality control, resource assessment, satellite-base irradiance estimation and forecasting. However, their use in forecasting and nowcasting is associated with a…

Accurate prediction of main engine power is essential for vessel performance optimization, fuel efficiency, and compliance with emission regulations. Conventional machine learning approaches, such as Support Vector Machines, variants of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Orfeas Bourchas , George Papalambrou

Photovoltaic (PV) power is affected by weather conditions, making the power generated from the PV systems uncertain. Solving this problem would help improve the reliability and cost effectiveness of the grid, and could help reduce reliance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Yahya Al Lawati , Jack Kelly , Dan Stowell

Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at both forecasting tasks, and at quantifying the uncertainty associated with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L van Zyl

Recurrent neural networks have gained widespread use in modeling sequential data. Learning long-term dependencies using these models remains difficult though, due to exploding or vanishing gradients. In this paper, we draw connections…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Bo Chang , Minmin Chen , Eldad Haber , Ed H. Chi

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Reservoir computing (RC) is a novel approach to time series prediction using recurrent neural networks. In RC, an input signal perturbs the intrinsic dynamics of a medium called a reservoir. A readout layer is then trained to reconstruct a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-01-13 Alireza Goudarzi , Peter Banda , Matthew R. Lakin , Christof Teuscher , Darko Stefanovic

Renewable energy integration into microgrids has become a key approach to addressing global energy issues such as climate change and resource scarcity. However, the variability of renewable sources and the rising occurrence of High Impact…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Mohammad Hossein Nejati Amiri , Fawaz Annaz , Mario De Oliveira , Florimond Gueniat

Surface contamination on electrical grid insulators leads to an increase in leakage current until an electrical discharge occurs, which can result in a power system shutdown. To mitigate the possibility of disruptive faults resulting in a…

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury
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