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In this paper, we propose a new model reduction technique for linear stochastic systems that builds upon knowledge filtering and utilizes optimal Kalman filtering techniques. This new technique will reduce the dimension of the noise…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-18 Maico Hendrikus Wilhelmus Engelaar , Licio Romao , Yulong Gao , Mircea Lazar , Alessandro Abate , Sofie Haesaert

Ill-posed inverse problems are ubiquitous in applications. Under- standing of algorithms for their solution has been greatly enhanced by a deep understanding of the linear inverse problem. In the applied communities ensemble-based filtering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kui Lin , Shuai Lu , Andrew M. Stuart

We present a theory-first framework that interprets inference-time adaptation in large language models (LLMs) as online Bayesian state estimation. Rather than modeling rapid adaptation as implicit optimization or meta-learning, we formulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Andrew Kiruluta

This paper introduces a novel Kalman filter framework designed to achieve robust state estimation under both process and measurement noise. Inspired by the Weighted Observation Likelihood Filter (WoLF), which provides robustness against…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Weitao Liu

For many nonlinear Bayesian state estimation problems, the posterior recursion is not analytically tractable, leading to algorithms that are influenced by numerical approximation errors. These algorithms depend on parameters that affect the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Ondrej Straka , Felipe Giraldo-Grueso , Renato Zanetti

Predicting the behavior of a dynamical system from noisy observations of its past outputs is a classical problem encountered across engineering and science. For linear systems with Gaussian inputs, the Kalman filter -- the best linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Usman Akram , Haris Vikalo

The paper is devoted to synthesis of recurrent algorithms for detection of stochastic signals given in state space. The structure of the algorithms synthesized is shown to be close to that of the Kalman filter. Analysis of one of the…

Many dynamical systems are subjected to stochastic influences, such as random excitations, noise, and unmodeled behavior. Tracking the system's state and parameters based on a physical model is a common task for which filtering algorithms,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Jan Grashorn , Matteo Broggi , Ludovic Chamoin , Michael Beer

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

In many applications of state estimation, the process noise is colored; this case is addressed by applying the standard Kalman filter (KF) to dynamics that are augmented with the coloring dynamics. The present paper considers the case where…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Mohammad Almuhaihi , Dennis Bernstein

This paper studies the distributed state estimation in sensor network, where $m$ sensors are deployed to infer the $n$-dimensional state of a linear time-invariant (LTI) Gaussian system. By a lossless decomposition of optimal steady-state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-22 Jiaqi Yan , Xu Yang , Yilin Mo , Keyou You

Recently, it has been demonstrated experimentally that adaptive estimation of a continuously varying optical phase provides superior accuracy in the phase estimate compared to static estimation. Here, we show that the mean-square error in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-12-12 Shibdas Roy , Ian R. Petersen , Elanor H. Huntington

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

Inference and simulation in the context of high-dimensional dynamical systems remain computationally challenging problems. Some form of dimensionality reduction is required to make the problem tractable in general. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Jörg Nick , Filip Tronarp

The Kalman filter is an algorithm for the estimation of hidden variables in dynamical systems under linear Gauss-Markov assumptions with widespread applications across different fields. Recently, its Bayesian interpretation has received a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Manuel Baltieri , Takuya Isomura

Kalman filtering is a cornerstone of estimation theory, yet learning the optimal filter under unknown and potentially singular noise covariances remains a fundamental challenge. In this paper, we revisit this problem through the lens of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-08 Larsen Bier , Shahriar Talebi

Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Shuilian Xie , Mahdi Imani , Edward R. Dougherty , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto

Duality of control and estimation allows mapping recent advances in data-guided control to the estimation setup. This paper formalizes and utilizes such a mapping to consider learning the optimal (steady-state) Kalman gain when process and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-08 Shahriar Talebi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Mehran Mesbahi

Learning in a non-stationary environment is an inevitable problem when applying machine learning algorithm to real world environment. Learning new tasks without forgetting the previous knowledge is a challenge issue in machine learning. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Honglin Li , Frieder Ganz , Shirin Enshaeifar , Payam Barnaghi
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