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In nature, active inference agents must learn how observations of the world represent the state of the agent. In engineering, the physics behind sensors is often known reasonably accurately and measurement functions can be incorporated into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-20 Wouter M. Kouw

Agent-based simulation provides a powerful tool for in silico system modeling. However, these simulations do not provide built-in methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ). Within these types of models a typical approach to UQ is to run…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-17 Adam Spannaus , Sifat Afroj Moon , John Gounley , Heidi A. Hanson

We propose a novel approach to the statistical analysis of stochastic simulation models and, especially, agent-based models (ABMs). Our main goal is to provide fully automated, model-independent and tool-supported techniques and algorithms…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-09 Andrea Vandin , Daniele Giachini , Francesco Lamperti , Francesca Chiaromonte

Agent-based models (ABMs) simulate the formation and evolution of social processes at a fundamental level by decoupling agent behavior from global observations. In the case where ABM networks evolve over time as a result of (or in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Karleigh Pine , Joel Klipfel , Jared Bennett , Nathaniel Bade , Christian Manasseh

Artificial agents capable of understanding and aligning with others' intentions are essential for safe and socially robust artificial intelligence. We introduce a computational framework for empathy in active inference agents, grounded in…

This methods article concerns analysing data generated from running experiments on agent based models to study industries and organisations. It demonstrates that when researchers study virtual ecologies they can and should discard…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-27 Thomas Chesney , Tim Gruchman , Robert Pasley , Altricia Dawson , Stefan Gold

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Much research in artificial intelligence is concerned with the development of autonomous agents that can interact effectively with other agents. An important aspect of such agents is the ability to reason about the behaviours of other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Stefano V. Albrecht , Peter Stone

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has emerged as a powerful tool in social policy-making and socio-economics, offering a flexible and dynamic approach to understanding and simulating complex systems. While traditional analytic methods may be less…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Shayan Firouzian Haji

Agent-based models are a natural choice for modeling complex social systems. In such models simple stochastic interaction rules for a large population of individuals can lead to emergent dynamics on the macroscopic scale, for instance a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-02 Luzie Helfmann , Jobst Heitzig , Péter Koltai , Jürgen Kurths , Christof Schütte

The ability of modeling the other agents, such as understanding their intentions and skills, is essential to an agent's interactions with other agents. Conventional agent modeling relies on passive observation from demonstrations. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Tianmin Shu , Caiming Xiong , Ying Nian Wu , Song-Chun Zhu

The reproduction of realistic dynamics in financial markets is of great significance, as it enhances our understanding of market evolution beyond other physical processes, and facilitates the development and backtesting of investment…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Tianlang He , Fengming Zhu , Keyan Lu , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Fangzhen Lin , S. -H. Gary Chan , Jiang Bian

Using a dynamical model to make predictions about a system has many sources of error. These can include errors in how the model was initialised but also errors in the dynamics of the model itself. For many applications in data assimilation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-07 P. A. Browne

Data assimilation has become a key technique for combining physical models with observational data to estimate state variables. However, classical assimilation algorithms often struggle with the high nonlinearity present in both physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuoyuan Li , Bin Dong , Pingwen Zhang

Modelling and computational methods have been essential in advancing quantitative science, especially in the past two decades with the availability of vast amount of complex, voluminous, and heterogeneous data. In particular, there has been…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Affan Shoukat , Seyed M. Moghadas

Recent work has shown how predictive modeling can endow agents with rich knowledge of their surroundings, improving their ability to act in complex environments. We propose question-answering as a general paradigm to decode and understand…

Dynamical systems across many disciplines are modeled as interacting particles or agents, with interaction rules that depend on a very small number of variables (e.g. pairwise distances, pairwise differences of phases, etc...), functions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Jinchao Feng , Mauro Maggioni , Patrick Martin , Ming Zhong

Data assimilation provides a systematic framework for combining dynamical models with partial and noisy observations to infer the evolving state of a system. In this work, we undertake a comparative study of Data Assimilation with Transfer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Emanuele Donno , Giovanni Conti , Paolo Oddo , Silvio Gualdi , Luca Mainetti , Giovanni Aloisio

Most of the works on planning and learning, e.g., planning by (model based) reinforcement learning, are based on two main assumptions: (i) the set of states of the planning domain is fixed; (ii) the mapping between the observations from the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Luciano Serafini , Paolo Traverso

In distributed processing, agents generally collect data generated by the same underlying unknown model (represented by a vector of parameters) and then solve an estimation or inference task cooperatively. In this paper, we consider the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Sheng-Yuan Tu , Ali H. Sayed