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This paper deals with the representation and solution of asymmetric Bayesian decision problems. We present a formal framework, termed asymmetric influence diagrams, that is based on the influence diagram and allows an efficient…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Thomas D. Nielsen , Finn Verner Jensen

Differentiable programming has recently received much interest as a paradigm that facilitates taking gradients of computer programs. While the corresponding flexible gradient-based optimization approaches so far have been used predominantly…

Decisions for a variable renewable resource generators commitment in the energy market are typically made in advance when little information is obtainable about wind availability and market prices. Much research has been published…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Razan A. H. Al-Lawati , Jose L. Crespo-Vazquez , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Xin Fang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Influence Diagrams (ID) are a flexible tool to represent discrete stochastic optimization problems, including Markov Decision Process (MDP) and Partially Observable MDP as standard examples. More precisely, given random variables considered…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Axel Parmentier , Victor Cohen , Vincent Leclère , Guillaume Obozinski , Joseph Salmon

Decision rules offer a rich and tractable framework for solving certain classes of multistage adaptive optimization problems. Recent literature has shown the promise of using linear and nonlinear decision rules in which wait-and-see…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Said Rahal , Dimitri J. Papageorgiou , Zukui Li

Distribution shifts have long been regarded as troublesome external forces that a decision-maker should either counteract or conform to. An intriguing feedback phenomenon termed decision dependence arises when the deployed decision affects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Zhiyu He , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler , Michael Muehlebach

We consider a risk-averse stochastic capacity planning problem under uncertain demand in each period. Using a scenario tree representation of the uncertainty, we formulate a multistage stochastic integer program to adjust the capacity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

In this paper, we propose a novel approach for data-driven decision-making under uncertainty in the presence of contextual information. Given a finite collection of observations of the uncertain parameters and potential explanatory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Miguel Angel Muñoz , Salvador Pineda , Juan Miguel Morales

Recently there has been a surge of interest in operations research (OR) and the machine learning (ML) community in combining prediction algorithms and optimization techniques to solve decision-making problems in the face of uncertainty.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Utsav Sadana , Abhilash Chenreddy , Erick Delage , Alexandre Forel , Emma Frejinger , Thibaut Vidal

Multi-stage problems with uncertain parameters and integer decisions variables are among the most difficult applications of robust optimization (RO). The challenge in these problems is to find optimal here-and-now decisions, taking into…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Ward Romeijnders , Krzysztof Postek

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Decision diagrams for classification have some notable advantages over decision trees, as their internal connections can be determined at training time and their width is not bound to grow exponentially with their depth. Accordingly,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Alexandre M. Florio , Pedro Martins , Maximilian Schiffer , Thiago Serra , Thibaut Vidal

We show an approach to automated control of machine vision systems based on incremental creation and evaluation of a particular family of influence diagrams that represent hypotheses of imagery interpretation and possible subsequent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Tod S. Levitt , John Mark Agosta , Thomas O. Binford

We develop a discrete-time version of the blended dynamics theorem for the use of designing distributed computation algorithms. The blended dynamics theorem enables to predict the behavior of heterogeneous multi-agent systems. Therefore,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-01 Jeong Woo Kim , Jin Gyu Lee , Donggil Lee , Hyungbo Shim

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-29 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

We use a decision-theoretic framework to study the problem of forecasting discrete outcomes when the forecaster is unable to discriminate among a set of plausible forecast distributions because of partial identification or concerns about…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-18 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

Many optimization problems incorporate uncertainty affecting their parameters and thus their objective functions and constraints. As an example, in chance-constrained optimization the constraints need to be satisfied with a certain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-09 Miguel Picallo , Florian Dörfler

Randomized optimization is an established tool for control design with modulated robustness. While for uncertain convex programs there exist randomized approaches with efficient sampling, this is not the case for non-convex problems.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-08 Sergio Grammatico , Xiaojing Zhang , Kostas Margellos , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros