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We propose a probabilistic formulation that enables sequential detection of multiple change points in a network setting. We present a class of sequential detection rules for certain functionals of change points (minimum among a subset), and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Arash Ali Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

Modeling functions that are sequentially observed as functional time series is becoming increasingly common. In such models, it is often crucial to ensure data homogeneity. We investigate the sensitivity of graph-based change point…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jeremy VanderDoes , Shojaeddin Chenouri

Assuming stationarity is unrealistic in many time series applications. A more realistic alternative is to allow for piecewise stationarity, where the model is allowed to change at given time points. We propose a three-stage procedure for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-31 Abolfazl Safikhani , Ali Shojaie

Estimation of the conditional independence graph (CIG) of high-dimensional multivariate Gaussian time series from multi-attribute data is considered. Existing methods for graph estimation for such data are based on single-attribute models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Jitendra K. Tugnait

We consider the problem of change-point detection in multivariate time-series. The multivariate distribution of the observations is supposed to follow a graphical model, whose graph and parameters are affected by abrupt changes throughout…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

We consider the task of learning Ising models when the signs of different random variables are flipped independently with possibly unequal, unknown probabilities. In this paper, we focus on the problem of robust estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Ashish Katiyar , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis

This thesis studies two problems in modern statistics. First, we study selective inference, or inference for hypothesis that are chosen after looking at the data. The motiving application is inference for regression coefficients selected by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Jason D. Lee

We consider the problem of learning the underlying graph of a sparse Ising model with $p$ nodes from $n$ i.i.d. samples. The most recent and best performing approaches combine an empirical loss (the logistic regression loss or the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-17 Antoine Dedieu , Miguel Lázaro-Gredilla , Dileep George

In undirected graphical models, learning the graph structure and learning the functions that relate the predictive variables (features) to the responses given the structure are two topics that have been widely investigated in machine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Shilin Ding

Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

We consider the structure learning problem for graphical models that we call loosely connected Markov random fields, in which the number of short paths between any pair of nodes is small, and present a new conditional independence test…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-05 Rui Wu , R. Srikant , Jian Ni

We present novel information-theoretic limits on detecting sparse changes in Ising models, a problem that arises in many applications where network changes can occur due to some external stimuli. We show that the sample complexity for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Aditya Gangrade , Bobak Nazer , Venkatesh Saligrama

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

Motivated by the need to extract meaning from large amounts of complex structured data, we consider three critical problems on graphs: localization, decomposition, and dictionary learning of piecewise-constant signals. These graph-based…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Siheng Chen , Yaoqing Yang , José. M. F. Moura , Jelena Kovačević

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) provide a compact and flexible framework to model very complex real-life phenomena. They combine the probability theory which deals with uncertainty and logical structure represented by a graph which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Maryia Shpak

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha

The change detection problem is to determine if the Markov network structures of two Markov random fields differ from one another given two sets of samples drawn from the respective underlying distributions. We study the trade-off between…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-31 Aditya Gangrade , Bobak Nazer , Venkatesh Saligrama

Graph-based methods have shown particular strengths in change-point detection (CPD) tasks for high-dimensional nonparametric settings. However, existing CPD research has rarely addressed data with repeated measurements or local group…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Serim Han , Jingru Zhang , Hoseung Song

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…