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In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Christophe Andrieu , Éric Moulines

Markov jump processes (MJPs) are continuous-time stochastic processes widely used in a variety of applied disciplines. Inference for MJPs typically proceeds via Markov chain Monte Carlo, the state-of-the-art being a uniformization-based…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Boqian Zhang , Vinayak Rao

This paper discusses a novel probabilistic approach for the design of robust model predictive control (MPC) laws for discrete-time linear systems affected by parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed technique is based…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Lorenzo Fagiano

The stochastic volatility model is one of volatility models which infer latent volatility of asset returns. The Bayesian inference of the stochastic volatility (SV) model is performed by the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm which is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-06 Tetsuya Takaishi

Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of hidden Markov models (HMMs) involves latent states underlying an imperfect observation process, and generates posterior samples for top-level parameters concurrently with nuisance…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-13 Daniel Turek , Perry de Valpine , Christopher J. Paciorek

The Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov Chain Monte Carlo schemes for generating samples from Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm is asymptotically exact, flexible and easy to implement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Estevão Prado , Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

Probability measures supported on submanifolds can be sampled by adding an extra momentum variable to the state of the system, and discretizing the associated Hamiltonian dynamics with some stochastic perturbation in the extra variable. In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Tony Lelièvre , Mathias Rousset , Gabriel Stoltz

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful tool for computation with complex probability distributions. However the performance of such methods is critically dependant on properly tuned parameters, most of which are difficult if…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-27 James A. Brofos , Marylou Gabrié , Marcus A. Brubaker , Roy R. Lederman

It was recently demonstrated that a simple Monte Carlo (MC) algorithm involving the swap of particle pairs dramatically accelerates the equilibrium sampling of simulated supercooled liquids. We propose two numerical schemes integrating the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-24 Ludovic Berthier , Elijah Flenner , Christopher J. Fullerton , Camille Scalliet , Murari Singh

Optimizing or sampling complex cost functions of combinatorial optimization problems is a longstanding challenge across disciplines and applications. When employing family of conventional algorithms based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Dmitrii Dobrynin , Masoud Mohseni , John Paul Strachan

Mechanistic models in biology often involve numerous parameters about which we do not have direct experimental information. The traditional approach is to fit these parameters using extensive numerical simulations (e.g. by the Monte-Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Alexandre Rocca , Marcelo Forets , Victor Magron , Eric Fanchon , Thao Dang

We propose a new framework of variance-reduced Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) methods for sampling from an $L$-smooth and $m$-strongly log-concave distribution, based on a unified formulation of biased and unbiased variance reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Zhengmian Hu , Feihu Huang , Heng Huang

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method has been recognized as a powerful sampling tool in computational statistics. We show that performance of HMC can be significantly improved by incorporating importance sampling and an irreversible…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-26 Tijana Radivojević , Elena Akhmatskaya

We propose a method to construct a proposal density for the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations of the GARCH model. The proposal density is constructed adaptively by using the data sampled by the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-14 Tetsuya Takaishi

We present a new Monte Carlo Markov Chain algorithm for CMB analysis in the low signal-to-noise regime. This method builds on and complements the previously described CMB Gibbs sampler, and effectively solves the low signal-to-noise…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 J. B. Jewell , H. K. Eriksen , B. D. Wandelt , I. J. O'Dwyer , G. Huey , K. M. Gorski

We discuss the statistical analysis method for the worldvolume hybrid Monte Carlo (WV-HMC) algorithm [arXiv:2012.08468], which was recently introduced to substantially reduce the computational cost of the tempered Lefschetz thimble method.…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-07-16 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Yusuke Namekawa

Equilibrium systems evolve according to Detailed Balance (DB). This principe guided development of the Monte-Carlo sampling techniques, of which Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is the famous representative. It is also known that DB is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-15 Konstantin S. Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov , Marija Vucelja

We introduce a new Monte Carlo method for pure gauge theories. It is not intended for use with dynamical fermions. It belongs to the class of Local Hybrid Monte Carlo (LHMC) algorithms, which make use of the locality of the action by…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-22 A. D. Kennedy , K. M. Bitar

We propose an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for sampling equilibrium distributions for stochastic lattice models, capable of handling correctly long and short-range particle interactions. The proposed method is a Metropolis-type…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-06-21 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac

We propose a flexible prior model for the parameters of binary Markov random fields (MRF) defined on rectangular lattices and with maximal cliques defined from a template maximal clique. The prior model allows higher-order interactions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-20 Petter Arnesen , Håkon Tjelmeland