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In this work we consider Bayesian inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. We present a method to compute an approximate of the posterior with a limited number of model simulations. The method features an inverse Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-23 Hongqiao Wang , Ziqiao Ao , Tengchao Yu , Jinglai Li

Understanding and designing inertial confinement fusion (ICF) implosions through radiation-hydrodynamics simulations rely on the accurate knowledge of the equation of state (EOS) of the deuterium and tritium fuels. To minimize the drive…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-30 S. X. Hu , B. Militzer , V. N. Goncharov , S. Skupsky

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

This paper presents a probabilistic framework to obtain both reliable and fast uncertainty estimates for predictions with Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). Our main contribution is a practical and principled combination of DNNs with sparse…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jongseok Lee , Jianxiang Feng , Matthias Humt , Marcus G. Müller , Rudolph Triebel

Adaptive learning is necessary for non-stationary environments where the learning machine needs to forget past data distribution. Efficient algorithms require a compact model update to not grow in computational burden with the incoming data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Emilio Parrado-Hernández , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Gaussian processes are widely used for accurate emulation of unknown surfaces in sequential design of expensive simulation experiments. Integrated mean squared error (IMSE) is an effective acquisition function for sequential designs based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Huanyan Zhu , Cheng Li

A key objective in engineering problems is to predict an unknown experimental surface over an input domain. In complex physical experiments, this may be hampered by response censoring, which results in a significant loss of information. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Jialei Chen , Simon Mak , V. Roshan Joseph , Chuck Zhang

Accurately estimating friction coefficients between arbitrary material pairs is critical for robotics, digital fabrication, and physics-based simulation, but exhaustive pairwise testing scales quadratically with the number of materials. We…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Zhendong Wang , Huamin Wang

We present a scale-bridging approach based on a multi-fidelity (MF) machine-learning (ML) framework leveraging Gaussian processes (GP) to fuse atomistic computational model predictions across multiple levels of fidelity. Through the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-06 Anh Tran , Julien Tranchida , Tim Wildey , Aidan P. Thompson

The integration of machine learning techniques into Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF) simulations has emerged as a powerful approach for enhancing computational efficiency. By replacing the costly Non-Local Thermodynamic Equilibrium (NLTE)…

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Improving the description of the equation of state (EoS) of deuterium-tritium (DT) has recently been shown to change significantly the gain of an Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF) target (Hu et al., PRL 104, 235003 (2010)). We use here an…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Laurent Caillabet , Benoit Canaud , Gwenaël Salin , Stéphane Mazevet , Paul Loubeyre

PDE foundation models are typically pretrained on large, diverse corpora of PDE datasets and can be adapted to new settings with limited task-specific data. However, most downstream evaluations focus on forward problems, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Mahindra Rautela , Alexander Scheinker , Bradley Love , Diane Oyen , Nathan DeBardeleben , Earl Lawrence , Ayan Biswas

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

Accurate modeling of heat flux in inertial confinement fusion plasmas requires closures that remain predictive far from local equilibrium and across disparate spatial and temporal resolutions. We develop a resolution-independent…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 M. Luo , A. R. Bell , F. Miniati , S. M. Vinko , G. Gregori

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

FLASH is a widely available radiation magnetohydrodynamics code used for astrophysics, laboratory plasma science, high energy density physics, and inertial confinement fusion. Increasing interest in magnetically driven inertial confinement…

The alpha-particle energy deposition mechanism modifies the ignition conditions of the thermonuclear Deuterium-Tritium fusion reactions, and constitutes a key issue in achieving high gain in Inertial Confinement Fusion implosions.…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2017-08-02 Mauro Temporal , Benoit Canaud , Withold Cayzac , Rafael Ramis , Robert L. Singleton