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Related papers: Point Process Flows

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Continuous-time event sequences play a vital role in real-world domains such as healthcare, finance, online shopping, social networks, and so on. To model such data, temporal point processes (TPPs) have emerged as the most natural and…

Marked event data captures events by recording their continuous-valued occurrence timestamps along with their corresponding discrete-valued types. They have appeared in various real-world scenarios such as social media, financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Hui Chen , Xuhui Fan , Hengyu Liu , Longbing Cao

Temporal point processes (TPP) are a natural tool for modeling event-based data. Among all TPP models, Hawkes processes have proven to be the most widely used, mainly due to their adequate modeling for various applications, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-03 Guillaume Staerman , Cédric Allain , Alexandre Gramfort , Thomas Moreau

Temporal point process is widely used for sequential data modeling. In this paper, we focus on the problem of modeling sequential event propagation in graph, such as retweeting by social network users, news transmitting between websites,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Weichang Wu , Huanxi Liu , Xiaohu Zhang , Yu Liu , Hongyuan Zha

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) serve as the standard mathematical framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences in continuous time. However, classical TPP models are often constrained by strong assumptions, limiting their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tanguy Bosser , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Hongyuan Mei , Jason Eisner

Flow-based generative models are composed of invertible transformations between two random variables of the same dimension. Therefore, flow-based models cannot be adequately trained if the dimension of the data distribution does not match…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Hyeongju Kim , Hyeonseung Lee , Woo Hyun Kang , Joun Yeop Lee , Nam Soo Kim

The classical temporal point process (TPP) constructs an intensity function by taking the occurrence times into account. Nevertheless, occurrence time may not be the only relevant factor, other contextual data, termed covariates, may also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Zizhuo Meng , Boyu Li , Xuhui Fan , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Fang Chen , Feng Zhou

In recent years there has been a substantial increase in the availability of datasets which contain information about the location and timing of an event or group of events and the application of methods to analyse spatio-temporal datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Nik Lomax , Nick Malleson , Le-Minh Kieu

We present an approach for flux analysis in process algebra models of biological systems. We perceive flux as the flow of resources in stochastic simulations. We resort to an established correspondence between event structures, a broadly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Ozan Kahramanoğullari

Point processes are stochastic models generating interacting points or events in time, space, etc. Among characteristics of these models, first-order intensity and conditional intensity functions are often considered. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Ismaïla Ba , Achmad Choiruddin

Modeling long horizon marked event sequences is a fundamental challenge in many real-world applications, including healthcare, finance, and user behavior modeling. Existing neural temporal point process models are typically autoregressive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Xiao Shou

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Neural processes (NPs) are a class of models that learn stochastic processes directly from data and can be used for inference, sampling and conditional sampling. We introduce a new NP model based on flow matching, a generative modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Hussen Abu Hamad , Dan Rosenbaum

Analyzing and interpreting time-dependent stochastic data requires accurate and robust density estimation. In this paper we extend the concept of normalizing flows to so-called temporal Normalizing Flows (tNFs) to estimate time dependent…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-12-20 Gert-Jan Both , Remy Kusters

A large fraction of data generated via human activities such as online purchases, health records, spatial mobility etc. can be represented as a sequence of events over a continuous-time. Learning deep learning models over these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Sourangshu Bhattacharya , Abir De

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have been widely used for modeling event sequences on the Web, such as user reviews, social media posts, and online transactions. However, traditional TPP models often struggle to effectively incorporate the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Yang Liu , Panrong Tong , Enqi Liu , Feng Zhou

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) model discrete events distributed in time and space, with important applications in areas such as criminology, seismology, epidemiology, and social networks. Traditional models often rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Zheng Dong , Yao Xie

Solving decision problems in complex, stochastic environments is often achieved by estimating the expected outcome of decisions via Monte Carlo sampling. However, sampling may overlook rare, but important events, which can severely impact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Lachlan Gibson , Marcus Hoerger , Dirk Kroese