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Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is sensitive to spurious correlations in the training data, which poses a significant risk when deploying systems trained under this paradigm in high-stake applications. While the existing literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Christos Tsirigotis , Joao Monteiro , Pau Rodriguez , David Vazquez , Aaron Courville

We show that empirical risk minimization procedures and regularized empirical risk minimization procedures satisfy nonexact oracle inequalities in an unbounded framework, under the assumption that the class has a subexponential envelope…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Guillaume Lecué , Shahar Mendelson

This article develops a general theory for minimum norm interpolating estimators and regularized empirical risk minimizers (RERM) in linear models in the presence of additive, potentially adversarial, errors. In particular, no conditions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Geoffrey Chinot , Matthias Löffler , Sara van de Geer

This article presents a novel, general, and effective simulation-inspired approach, called {\it repro samples method}, to conduct statistical inference. The approach studies the performance of artificial samples, referred to as {\it repro…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Min-ge Xie , Peng Wang

Randomization inference is a widely-used and appealing approach for analyzing treatment effects in randomized experiments, as it is finite-sample valid and does not require any distributional assumptions. However, naive application of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Xinran Li , Peizan Sheng , Zeyang Yu

Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We consider the solution of finite-sum minimization problems, such as those appearing in nonlinear least-squares or general empirical risk minimization problems. We are motivated by problems in which the summand functions are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Matt Menickelly , Stefan M. Wild

To alleviate the annotation burden in supervised learning, N-tuples learning has recently emerged as a powerful weakly-supervised method. While existing N-tuples learning approaches extend pairwise learning to higher-order comparisons and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-29 Shuying Huang , Junpeng Li , Changchun Hua , Yana Yang

In many instances, the application of approximate Bayesian methods is hampered by two practical features: 1) the requirement to project the data down to low-dimensional summary, including the choice of this projection, which ultimately…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-26 David T. Frazier

In this paper, we propose a novel method for matrix completion under general non-uniform missing structures. By controlling an upper bound of a novel balancing error, we construct weights that can actively adjust for the non-uniformity in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Jiayi Wang , Raymond K. W. Wong , Xiaojun Mao , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

In this paper, we study the generalization performance of global minima for implementing empirical risk minimization (ERM) on over-parameterized deep ReLU nets. Using a novel deepening scheme for deep ReLU nets, we rigorously prove that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Shao-Bo Lin , Yao Wang , Ding-Xuan Zhou

Statistical machine learning methods often face the challenge of limited data available from the population of interest. One remedy is to leverage data from auxiliary source populations, which share some conditional distributions or are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Hongxiang Qiu , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Edgar Dobriban

Science and technology have a growing need for effective mechanisms that ensure reliable, controlled performance from black-box machine learning algorithms. These performance guarantees should ideally hold conditionally on the input-that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Vincent Blot , Anastasios N Angelopoulos , Michael I Jordan , Nicolas J-B Brunel

In this paper, we explore bounds on the expected risk when using deep neural networks for supervised classification from an information theoretic perspective. Firstly, we introduce model risk and fitting error, which are derived from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Binchuan Qi

We consider the problem of empirical Bayes estimation for (multivariate) Poisson means. Existing solutions that have been shown theoretically optimal for minimizing the regret (excess risk over the Bayesian oracle that knows the prior) have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Soham Jana , Yury Polyanskiy , Anzo Teh , Yihong Wu

Given finite-dimensional random vectors $Y$, $X$, and $Z$ that form a Markov chain in that order (i.e., $Y \to X \to Z$), we derive upper bounds on the excess minimum risk using generalized information divergence measures. Here, $Y$ is a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ananya Omanwar , Fady Alajaji , Tamás Linder

Standard random-effects meta-analysis methods perform poorly when applied to few studies only. Such settings however are commonly encountered in practice. It is unclear, whether or to what extent small-sample-size behaviour can be improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-15 Svenja E. Seide , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Quantifying the data uncertainty in learning tasks is often done by learning a prediction interval or prediction set of the label given the input. Two commonly desired properties for learned prediction sets are \emph{valid coverage} and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Yingbo Zhou , Caiming Xiong

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar
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