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Related papers: Well Posedness and Control in a NonLocal SIR Model

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Real-time vaccination following an outbreak can effectively mitigate the damage caused by an infectious disease. However, in many cases, available resources are insufficient to vaccinate the entire at-risk population, logistics result in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-29 Chantal Nguyen , Jean M. Carlson

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIR epidemiology model that includes a partially specified vaccination policy and takes into account fatigue from protracted application of social distancing measures. The model assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Evangelos F. Magirou

How to allocate vaccines over heterogeneous individuals is one of the important policy decisions in pandemic times. This paper develops a procedure to estimate an individualized vaccine allocation policy under limited supply, exploiting…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-25 Toru Kitagawa , Guanyi Wang

We revisit here a landmark five parameter SIR-type model of [DvdD93, Sec. 4], which is maybe the simplest example where a complete picture of all cases, including non-trivial bistability behavior, may be obtained using simple tools. We also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-11 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Gianluca Bianchin , Andrei Halanay

The COVID-19 pandemic has influenced the lives of people globally. In the past year many researchers have proposed different models and approaches to explore in what ways the spread of the disease could be mitigated. One of the models that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 Aram Ansary Ogholbake , Hana Khamfroush

Vaccination campaigns have both direct and indirect effects that act to control an infectious disease as it spreads through a population. Indirect effects arise when vaccinated individuals block disease transmission in any infection chains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-08 Lixin Lin , Homayoun Hamedmoghadam , Robert Shorten , Lewi Stone

In this paper, an SIR epidemic model with variable size of population is considered. We study optimal control problem for an SIR model with "vaccination" and "treatment" as controls. It is shown that an optimal control exists. We have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Olga Klimenkova

We consider a SIR model with temporary immunity and time dependent transmission rate. We assume time dependent vaccination which confers the same immunity as natural infection. We study two types of vaccination strategies: i) optimal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-06 Paulo Doutor , Paula Rodrigues , Maria do Céu Soares , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

This paper analyses the optimal control of infectious disease propagation using a classic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model characterised by permanent immunity and the absence of available vaccines. The control is performed over a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Rocío Balderrama , Mariana Inés Prieto , Constanza Sánchez de la Vega , Federico Vazquez

In this work we study the stability properties of the equilibrium points of deterministic epidemic models with nonconstant population size. Models with nonconstant population have been studied in the past only in particular cases, two of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Lasko Basnarkov , Gianluca Bianchin , Dan Goreac , Andrei Halanay

A compartment epidemic model for infectious disease spreading is investigated, where movement of individuals is governed by spatial diffusion. The model includes infection age of the infected individuals and assumes a logistic growth of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Christoph Walker

The SEIR model is a compartmental model used to simulate the dynamics of an epidemic. In this chapter, we introduce two control functions in the compartmental SEIR model representing vaccination and plasma transfusion. Optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Juliana Couras , Ivan Area , Juan J. Nieto , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

We consider a susceptible, infected, and recovered infectious disease model which incorporates a vaccination rate. In particular, we study the problem of choosing the vaccination rate in order to reduce the number of infected individuals to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Ryan Hynd , Dennis Ikpe , Terrance Pendleton

We consider a vaccination game that results with the introduction of premature and possibly scarce vaccines introduced in a desperate bid to combat the otherwise ravaging deadly pandemic. The response of unsure agents amid many…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Vartika Singh , Khushboo Agarwal , Shubham , Veeraruna Kavitha

We consider the problem of the optimal allocation of vaccination and protection measures for the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Infected (SIRI) epidemiological model, which generalizes the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Rohit Gupta , Alfred O. Hero

The outbreak of mutant strains and vaccination behaviors have been the focus of recent epidemiological research, but most existing epidemic models failed to simultaneously capture viral mutation and consider the complexity and behavioral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Wenjie Zhang , Yusheng Li , Qin Li , Guojun Huang , Minyu Feng

We study three different strategies of vaccination in a SEIRS (Susceptible--Exposed--Infected--Recovered--Susceptible) seasonal forced model, which are: ($i$) continuous vaccination; ($ii$) periodic short time localized vaccination and…

This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) model for the spread of an epidemic amongst a population of individuals with a random network of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-16 Frank Ball , David Sirl

Non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), and in particular social distancing, in conjunction with the advent of effective vaccines at the end of 2020, aspired for the development of a protective immunity shield against the spread of…