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Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

This study focuses on statistical inference for compound models of the form $X=\xi_1+\ldots+\xi_N$, where $N$ is a random variable denoting the count of summands, which are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Denis Belomestny , Ekaterina Morozova , Vladimir Panov

Given an undirected graph representing similarities between a set of items and an additive measure evaluating the items, we treat the position of a special subset of items in an ordinal ranking through a collection of combinatorial…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Samuel Boardman

Previously it has been shown that some classes of mixing dynamical systems have limiting return times distributions that are almost everywhere Poissonian. Here we study the behaviour of return times at periodic points and show that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-04 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

The general notion of a stochastic ordering is that one probability distribution is smaller than a second one if the second attaches more probability to higher values than the first. Motivated by recent work on barycentric maps on spaces of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Fumio Hiai , Jimmie Lawson , Yongdo Lim

We introduce a notion of real-valued reward testing for probabilistic processes by extending the traditional nonnegative-reward testing with negative rewards. In this richer testing framework, the may and must preorders turn out to be…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-07-07 Yuxin Deng , Rob van Glabbeek , Matthew Hennessy , Carroll Morgan

Mixture models have received considerable attention recently and Newton [Sankhy\={a} Ser. A 64 (2002) 306--322] proposed a fast recursive algorithm for estimating a mixing distribution. We prove almost sure consistency of this recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin , Jayanta K. Ghosh

Compound distributions allow construction of a rich set of distributions. Typically they involve an intractable integral. Here we use a quadrature approximation to that integral to define the quadrature compound family. Special care is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-10 Josh Dillon , Ian Langmore

Convolutions of independent random variables often arise in a natural way in many applied problems. In this article, we compare convolutions of two sets of gamma (negative binomial) random variables in the convolution order and the usual…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Ying Zhang

We show by example that there is a Cayley graph, having two invariant random subgraphs X and Y, such that there exists a monotone coupling between them in the sense that $X\subset Y$, although no such coupling can be invariant. Here,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Péter Mester

We show that Markov couplings can be used to improve the accuracy of Markov chain Monte Carlo calculations in some situations where the steady-state probability distribution is not explicitly known. The technique generalizes the notion of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Jonathan B. Goodman , Kevin K. Lin

We propose nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation of joint potential outcome distributions in the presence of confounding. First, in settings with observed confounding, we derive tighter, covariate-informed bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Jianle Sun , Kun Zhang

For a bivariate random vector (X,Y), symmetry conditions are presented that yield stochastic orderings among |X|, |Y|, |max(X,Y)|, and | min(X, Y)|. Partial extensions of these results for multivariate random vectors (X1,...,Xn) are also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Yindeng Jiang , Michael D. Perlman

We generalize the optimal coupling theorem to multiple random variables: Given a collection of random variables, it is possible to couple all of them so that any two differ with probability comparable to the total-variation distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-10 Omer Angel , Yinon Spinka

We study combinations of risk measures under no restrictive assumption on the set of alternatives. We develop and discuss results regarding the preservation of properties and acceptance sets for the combinations of risk measures. One of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcelo Brutti Righi

Robust and distributionally robust optimization are modeling paradigms for decision-making under uncertainty where the uncertain parameters are only known to reside in an uncertainty set or are governed by any probability distribution from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Jianzhe Zhen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

In this article we survey properties of mixed Poisson distributions and probabilistic aspects of the Stirling transform: given a non-negative random variable $X$ with moment sequence $(\mu_s)_{s\in\mathbb{N}}$ we determine a discrete random…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Markus Kuba , Alois Panholzer

We study pairs of consecutive odd numbers through a straightforward indexing. We focus in particular on twin primes and their distribution. With a counting argument, we calculate the limit of an alternating sum that is equal to 1 which…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Marc Wolf , FranÇOis Wolf , FranÇOis-Xavier Villemin

We study the convergence of distributions on finite paths of weighted digraphs, namely the family of Boltzmann distributions and the sequence of uniform distributions. Targeting applications to the convergence of distributions on paths, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Samy Abbes

We consider the problem of computing the joint distribution of order statistics of stochastically independent random variables in one- and two-group models. While recursive formulas for evaluating the joint cumulative distribution function…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-24 Jonathan von Schroeder , Thorsten Dickhaus
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