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The paper considers multivariate discrete random sums with equal number of summands. Such distributions describe the total claim amount received by a company in a fixed time point. In Queuing theory they characterize cumulative waiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Pavlina Jordanova

In causal inference, the joint law of a set of counterfactual random variables is generally not identified. We show that a conservative version of the joint law - corresponding to the smallest treatment effect - is identified. Finding this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-20 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Edward Kennedy , Larry Wasserman

Dispersion is a fundamental concept in statistics, yet standard approaches - especially via stochastic orders - face limitations in the discrete setting. In particular, the classical dispersive order, well-established for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Stochastic ordering among distributions has been considered in a variety of scenarios. Economic studies often involve research about the ordering of investment strategies or social welfare. However, as noted in the literature, stochastic…

The generalized Poisson distribution is well known to be a compound Poisson distribution with Borel summands. As a generalization we present closed formulas for compound Bartlett and Delaporte distributions with Borel summands and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Helmut Finner , Peter Kern , Marsel Scheer

The polygonal distributions are a class of distributions that can be defined via the mixture of triangular distributions over the unit interval. The class includes the uniform and trapezoidal distributions, and is an alternative to the beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-18 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Over time, there have hen refinements in the way that probability distributions are used for representing beliefs. Models which rely on single probability distributions depict a complete ordering among the propositions of interest, yet…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Paul Snow

Distributive laws are a standard way of combining two monads, providing a compositional approach for reasoning about computational effects in semantics. Situations where no such law exists can sometimes be handled by weakening the notion of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Alexandre Goy

A causal set is a partially ordered set on a countably infinite ground-set such that each element is above finitely many others. A natural extension of a causal set is an enumeration of its elements which respects the order. We bring…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-22 Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-29 Conrado S. Miranda , Fernando J. Von Zuben

The usual stochastic order and the likelihood ratio order between probability distributions on the real line are reviewed in full generality. In addition, for the distribution of a random pair $(X,Y)$, it is shown that the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Lutz Duembgen , Alexandre Moesching

Most of the stochastic orders for comparing random variables, considered in the literature, are afflicted with two main drawbacks: (i) lack of connex property and (ii) lack of consideration of any dependence structure between the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-03 Sugata Ghosh , Asok K. Nanda

Consider a pair of cumulative distribution functions $F$ and $G$, where $F$ is unknown and $G$ is a known reference distribution. Given a sample from $F$, we propose tests to detect the convexity or the concavity of $G^{-1}\circ F$ versus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Tommaso Lando , Mohammed Es-Salih Benjrada

We study the aggregation of two risks when the marginal distributions are known and the dependence structure is unknown, under the additional constraint that one risk is smaller than or equal to the other. Risk aggregation problems with the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-22 Yuyu Chen , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

We propose a definition of diversification as a binary relationship between financial portfolios. According to it, a convex linear combination of several risk positions with some weights is considered to be less risky than the probabilistic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Maria Logvaneva , Mikhail Tselishchev

In this paper, we establish a sufficient condition to compare linear combinations of independent and identically distributed (iid) infinite-mean random variables under usual stochastic order. We introduce a new class of distributions that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Yuyu Chen , Taizhong Hu , Seva Shneer , Zhenfeng Zou

A stationary random sequence admits under some assumptions a representation as the sum of two others: one of them is a martingale difference sequence, and another is a so-called coboundary. Such a representation can be used for proving some…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-24 Mikhail Gordin

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent summands by the accompanying compound Poisson laws and the estimates of the proximity of sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

When multiple forecasts are available for a probability distribution, forecast combining enables a pragmatic synthesis of the information to extract the wisdom of the crowd. The linear opinion pool has been widely used, whereby the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 James W. Taylor , Xiaochun Meng