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We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Antoine Maillard

This work concerns about forward-backward multivalued stochastic systems. First of all, we prove one average principle for general stochastic differential equations in the $L^{2p}$ ($p\geq 1$) sense. Moreover, for $p=1$ a convergence rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Huijie Qiao

This work focus on the large deviation principle for a two-time scale McKean-Vlasov system with jumps. Based on the variational framework of the McKean-Vlasov system with jumps, it is turned into weak convergence for the controlled system.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu

The continuous time stochastic process is a mainstream mathematical instrument modeling the random world with a wide range of applications involving finance, statistics, physics, and time series analysis, while the simulation and analysis…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-04 Xi-Ning Zhuang , Zhao-Yun Chen , Cheng Xue , Yu-Chun Wu , Guo-Ping Guo

We present a general technique for computing large deviations of nonlinear functions of independent Bernoulli random variables. The method is applied to compute the large deviation rate functions for subgraph counts in sparse random graphs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Amir Dembo

The aim of this paper is to investigate the large deviations for a class of slow-fast mean-field diffusions, which extends some existing results to the case where the laws of fast process are also involved in the slow component. Due to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Wei Hong , Wei Liu , Shiyuan Yang

Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations can be used to compute the likelihood of extreme or rare events in stochastic dynamical systems via the solution of an optimization problem. The approach gives exponential estimates that often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-17 Tobias Grafke , Tobias Schäfer , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

In this paper we prove large deviations principles for the averaged stochastic approximation method for the estimation of a regression function introduced by A. Mokkadem et al. [Revisiting R\'ev\'esz's stochastic approximation method for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-30 Yousri Slaoui

We extend the mathematical model based on stochastic differential equations describing the error gained by an atomic clock to the cases of anomalous behavior including jumps and an increase of instability. We prove an exact iterative…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Cristina Zucca , Patrizia Tavella

We provide Large Deviation estimates for the bridge of a $d$-dimensional general diffusion process as the conditioning time tends to $0$ and apply these results to the evaluation of the asymptotics of its exit time probabilities. We are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Paolo Baldi , Lucia Caramellino , Maurizia Rossi

We consider a discrete-time random walk on a one-dimensional lattice with space and time-dependent random jump probabilities, known as the Beta random walk. We are interested in the probability that, for a given realization of the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-28 Alexander K. Hartmann , Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal

We consider a fractional counting process with jumps of amplitude $1,2,\ldots,k$, with $k\in \mathbb{N}$, whose probabilities satisfy a suitable system of fractional difference-differential equations. We obtain the moment generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Alessandra Meoli

In this paper, we establish a large deviation principle for a stochastic evolution equation which describes the system governing the nematic liquid crystals driven by pure jump noise. The proof is based on the weak convergence approach.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Rangrang Zhang , Guoli Zhou

Using key tools such as It\^o formula for general semi-martingales, moments estimates for L\'{e}vy-type stochastic integrals and properties of regular varying functions we find conditions under which solutions of stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-09 I. Orlovskyi , F. Proske , O. Tymoshenko

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

A large deviation function mathematically characterizes the statistical property of atypical events. Recently, in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, large deviation functions have been used to describe universal laws such as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-26 Shin-ichi Sasa

Using the results of X. Fernique on the compactness of distributions of cadlag random functions, we derive some cadlaguity moment estimates for stochastic processes with jumps.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-09 R. Mikulevicius , Fanhui Xu

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

We prove a large deviation principle for the point process associated to $k$-element connected components in $\mathbb R^d$ with respect to the connectivity radii $r_n\to\infty$. The random points are generated from a homogeneous Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Christian Hirsch , Takashi Owada

We present a method to learn mean residence time and escape probability from data modeled by stochastic differential equations. This method is a combination of machine learning from data (to extract stochastic differential equations as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Dengfeng Wu , Miaomiao Fu , Jinqiao Duan