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Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as elementary example of a probability model. In the past, enumeration and order statistic-based methods have been suggested for the maximum likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

This paper introduces distribution-based prediction, a novel approach to using Large Language Models (LLMs) as predictive tools by interpreting output token probabilities as distributions representing the models' learned representation of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Caleb Bradshaw , Caelen Miller , Sean Warnick

Let $\{X_n,n\ge1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, taking non-negative integer values, and call $X_n$ a $\delta$-record if $X_n>\max\{X_1,...,X_{n-1}\}+\delta$, where $\delta$ is an integer…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Raúl Gouet , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is pivotal in statistical inference, yet its application is often hindered by the absence of closed-form solutions for many models. This poses challenges in real-time computation scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Pedro L. Ramos , Eduardo Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

Consider a positive random variable of interest Y depending on a covariate X, and a random observation time T independent of Y given X. Assume that the only knowledge available about Y is its current status at time T: \delta = 1_{Y \leq T}.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-11 Sandra Plancade

The paper deals with the problem of nonparametric estimating the $L_p$--norm, $p\in (1,\infty)$, of a probability density on $R^d$, $d\geq 1$ from independent observations. The unknown density %to be estimated is assumed to belong to a ball…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Alexander Goldenshluger , Oleg Lepski

In this paper, we propose the {\alpha}-Lomax distribution as a new compound fading channel model. This new distribution generalizes the recently introduced Lomax fading channel model. It is worth noting that the Lomax distribution is a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Osamah S. Badarneh , Daniel Benevides da Costa

This paper considers the problem of multi-sample nonparametric comparison of counting processes with panel count data, which arise naturally when recurrent events are considered. Such data frequently occur in medical follow-up studies and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-21 N. Balakrishnan , Xingqiu Zhao

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the expectation of the maximum for a special assignment process with constant or i.i.d. coefficients. We show how it depends on the coefficients' distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Mikhail Lifshits , Arman Tadevosian

Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently been successfully applied to regression tasks -- such as time series forecasting and tabular prediction -- by leveraging their in-context learning abilities. However, their autoregressive decoding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Julianna Piskorz , Katarzyna Kobalczyk , Mihaela van der Schaar

The record statistics of complex random states are analytically calculated, and shown that the probability of a record intensity is a Bernoulli process. The correlation due to normalization leads to a probability distribution of the records…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 Shashi C. L. Srivastava , Arul Lakshminarayan , Sudhir R. Jain

Social sampling is a novel randomized message passing protocol inspired by social communication for opinion formation in social networks. In a typical social sampling algorithm, each agent holds a sample from the empirical distribution of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Qian Liu , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang

This paper deals with the Fisher-consistency, weak continuity and differentiability of estimating functionals corresponding to a class of both linear and nonlinear regression high breakdown M estimates, which includes S and MM estimates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 María V. Fasano , Ricardo A. Maronna , Mariela Sued , Víctor J. Yohai

We consider the problem of testing for a dose-related effect based on a candidate set of (typically nonlinear) dose-response models using likelihood-ratio tests. For the considered models this reduces to assessing whether the slope…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-22 Georg Gutjahr , Björn Bornkamp

Precise asymptotics for moderate deviation probabilities are established for open convex sets in both the finite- and infinite-dimensional settings. Our results are based on the existence of dominating points for these sets, a related…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Uwe Einmahl , James Kuelbs

Max-stable random fields provide canonical models for the dependence of multivariate extremes. Inference with such models has been challenging due to the lack of tractable likelihoods. In contrast, the finite dimensional cumulative…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Robert A. Yuen , Stilian Stoev

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

The parameters of the log-logistic distribution are generally estimated based on classical methods such as maximum likelihood estimation, whereas these methods usually result in severe biased estimates when the data contain outliers. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-16 Zhuanzhuan Ma , Min Wang , Chanseok Park

Asymptotic concentration behaviors of linear combinations of weight distributions on the random linear code ensemble are presented. Many important properties of a binary linear code can be expressed as the form of a linear combination of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-03-10 Tadashi Wadayama

We develop and analyze $M$-estimation methods for divergence functionals and the likelihood ratios of two probability distributions. Our method is based on a non-asymptotic variational characterization of $f$-divergences, which allows the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 XuanLong Nguyen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan
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