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We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is represented by a set P of probability distributions and the agent observes that a random variable X takes on value x, given that the agent makes decisions using the minimax…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Peter D. Grunwald , Joseph Y. Halpern

A hockey player's plus-minus measures the difference between goals scored by and against that player's team while the player was on the ice. This measures only a marginal effect, failing to account for the influence of the others he is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-27 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Sen Tian

This paper considers an infinitely repeated three-player Bayesian game with lack of information on two sides, in which an informed player plays two zero-sum games simultaneously at each stage against two uninformed players. This is a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-03-10 Lucas Pahl

We study a repeated game with payoff externalities and observable actions where two players receive information over time about an underlying payoff-relevant state, and strategically coordinate their actions. Players learn about the true…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2018-09-05 Pathikrit Basu , Kalyan Chatterjee , Tetsuya Hoshino , Omer Tamuz

We use machine learning to provide a tractable measure of the amount of predictable variation in the data that a theory captures, which we call its "completeness." We apply this measure to three problems: assigning certain equivalents to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-10-17 Drew Fudenberg , Jon Kleinberg , Annie Liang , Sendhil Mullainathan

We initiate the study of structured Stackelberg games, a novel form of strategic interaction between a leader and a follower where contextual information can be predictive of the follower's (unknown) type. Motivated by applications such as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Maria-Florina Balcan , Kiriaki Fragkia , Keegan Harris

The assumptions of necessary rationality and necessary knowledge of strategies, also known as perfect prediction, lead to at most one surviving outcome, immune to the knowledge that the players have of them. Solutions concepts implementing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Ghislain Fourny

The classical, complete-information two-player games assume that the problem data (in particular the payoff matrix) is known exactly by both players. In a now famous result, Nash has shown that any such game has an equilibrium in mixed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-11 Nicolas Loizou

We introduce a new class of games where each player's aim is to randomise her strategic choices in order to affect the other players' expectations aside from her own. The way each player intends to exert this influence is expressed through…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Lluís Godo , Enrico Marchioni

This work lies in the fusion of experimental economics and data mining. It continues author's previous work on mining behaviour rules of human subjects from experimental data, where game-theoretic predictions partially fail to work.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Rustam Tagiew

Cooperative game theory has diverse applications in contemporary artificial intelligence, including domains like interpretable machine learning, resource allocation, and collaborative decision-making. However, specifying a cooperative game…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Filip Úradník , David Sychrovský , Jakub Černý , Martin Černý

A general model for zero-sum stochastic games with asymmetric information is considered. In this model, each player's information at each time can be divided into a common information part and a private information part. Under certain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-25 Dhruva Kartik , Ashutosh Nayyar

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is represented by a set $\P$ of probability distributions and the agent observes that a random variable $X$ takes on value $x$, given that the agent makes decisions using the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-11-27 Peter D. Grunwald , Joseph Y. Halpern

We study players interacting under the veil of ignorance, who have -- coarse -- beliefs represented as subsets of opponents' actions. We analyze when these players follow $\max \min$ or $\max\max$ decision criteria, which we identify with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-10 Pierfrancesco Guarino , Gabriel Ziegler

This paper focuses on "tracing player knowledge" in educational games. Specifically, given a set of concepts or skills required to master a game, the goal is to estimate the likelihood with which the current player has mastery of each of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-16 Pavan Kantharaju , Katelyn Alderfer , Jichen Zhu , Bruce Char , Brian Smith , Santiago Ontañón

This paper studies a Stackelberg game wherein a sender (leader) attempts to shape the information of a less informed receiver (follower) who in turn takes an action that determines the payoff for both players. The sender chooses signals to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Reema Deori , Ankur A. Kulkarni

Two-player zero-sum repeated games are well understood. Computing the value of such a game is straightforward. Additionally, if the payoffs are dependent on a random state of the game known to one, both, or neither of the players, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-05 Paul Cuff

We consider distributed learning problem in games with an unknown cost-relevant parameter, and aim to find the Nash equilibrium while learning the true parameter. Inspired by the social learning literature, we propose a distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Shijie Huang , Jinlong Lei , Yiguang Hong

A competitive market is modeled as a game of incomplete information. One player observes some payoff-relevant state and can sell (possibly noisy) messages thereof to the other, whose willingness to pay is contingent on their own beliefs. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Thomas Falconer , Anubhav Ratha , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson , Maryam Kamgarpour
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