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Timely and reliable decision-making is vital for flood emergency response, yet it remains severely hindered by limited and imprecise situational awareness due to various budget and data accessibility constraints. Traditional flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qian Sun , Graham Hults , Susu Xu

Extreme floods cause casualties, and widespread damage to property and vital civil infrastructure. We here propose a Bayesian approach for predicting extreme floods using the generalized extreme-value (GEV) distribution within gauged and…

Deep Learning is becoming an increasingly important way to produce accurate hydrological predictions across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Uncertainty estimations are critical for actionable hydrological forecasting, and while…

Reliable hydrologic and flood forecasting requires models that remain stable when input data are delayed, missing, or inconsistent. However, most advances in rainfall-runoff prediction have been evaluated under ideal data conditions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Sarth Dubey , Subimal Ghosh , Udit Bhatia

Accurate flood forecasting remains a challenge for water-resource management, as it demands modeling of local, time-varying runoff drivers (e.g., rainfall-induced peaks, baseflow trends) and complex spatial interactions across a river…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Aishwarya Sarkar , Autrin Hakimi , Xiaoqiong Chen , Hai Huang , Chaoqun Lu , Ibrahim Demir , Ali Jannesari

The flooding extent area in a river valley is related to river gauge observations. The higher the water elevation, the larger the flooding area. Due to synthetic aperture radar\textquoteright s (SAR) capabilities to penetrate through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Monika Gierszewska , Tomasz Berezowski

Water events are the most frequent and costliest climate disasters around the world. In the U.S., an estimated 127 million people who live in coastal areas are at risk of substantial home damage from hurricanes or flooding. In flood…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Bahareh Alizadeh , Diya Li , Zhe Zhang , Amir H. Behzadan

We present a decision support system for flood early warning and disaster management. It includes the models for data-driven meteorological predictions, for simulation of atmospheric pressure, wind, long sea waves and seiches; a module for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-31 V. V. Krzhizhanovskaya , N. B. Melnikova , A. M. Chirkin , S. V. Ivanov , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A. Sloot

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

Recent advances in data-generating techniques led to an explosive growth of geo-spatiotemporal data. In domains such as hydrology, ecology, and transportation, interpreting the complex underlying patterns of spatiotemporal interactions with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Aishwarya Sarkar , Chaoqun Lu , Ali Jannesari

Increasing flood frequency and severity due to climate change threatens infrastructure and demands improved susceptibility mapping techniques. While traditional machine learning (ML) approaches are widely used, they struggle to capture…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Sreenath Vemula , Filippo Gatti , Pierre Jehel

Wind hazards such as tornadoes and straight-line winds frequently affect vulnerable communities in the Great Plains of the United States, where limited infrastructure and sparse data coverage hinder effective emergency response. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Mahmuda Akhter Nishu , Chenyu Huang , Milad Roohi , Xin Zhong

Friction is one of the cruxes of hydrodynamic modeling; flood conditions are highly sensitive to the Friction Factors (FFs) used to calculate momentum losses. However, empirical FFs are challenging to measure because they require laboratory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Francisco Haces-Garcia , Vasileios Kotzamanis , Craig Glennie , Hanadi Rifai

The analysis of natural disasters such as floods in a timely manner often suffers from limited data due to coarsely distributed sensors or sensor failures. At the same time, a plethora of information is buried in an abundance of images of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Björn Barz , Kai Schröter , Ann-Christin Kra , Joachim Denzler

Floods are among the most damaging weather-related hazards, and in 2024, the warmest year on record, extreme flood events affected communities across five continents. Earth observation (EO) satellites provide critical, frequent coverage for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Mirela G. Tulbure , Julio Caineta , Mark Broich , Mollie D. Gaines , Philippe Rufin , Leon-Friedrich Thomas , Hamed Alemohammad , Jan Hemmerling , Patrick Hostert

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Timely, accurate, and reliable information is essential for decision-makers, emergency managers, and infrastructure operators during flood events. This study demonstrates a proposed machine learning model, MaxFloodCast, trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Cheng-Chun Lee , Lipai Huang , Federico Antolini , Matthew Garcia , Andrew Juanb , Samuel D. Brody , Ali Mostafavi

Conformal Prediction offers a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, enabling the construction of prediction sets with finite-sample validity guarantees. While easily adaptable to non-probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Eshant English , Christoph Lippert

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah