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Given the advancements in data-driven modeling for complex engineering and scientific applications, this work utilizes a data-driven predictive control method, namely subspace predictive control, to coordinate hybrid power plant components…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-20 Manavendra Desai , Himanshu Sharma , Sayak Mukherjee , Sonja Glavaski

Accurate wind power forecasts depend on reliable wind speed forecasts. Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) utilize huge amounts of computing time, but still have rather low spatial and temporal resolution. However, stochastic wind speed…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-10 Daniel Ambach , Carsten Croonenbroeck

The need for resiliency of electricity supply is increasing due to increasing frequency of natural disasters---such as hurricanes---that disrupt supply from the power grid. Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) panels together with batteries can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-13 Ninad Gaikwad , Naren Srivaths Raman , Prabir Barooah

Design and operation of a utility scale photovoltaic (PV) power plant depends on accurate modeling of the power generated, which is highly correlated with aggregate solar irradiance on the plant's PV modules. At present, aggregate solar…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-17 Joshua Patrick , Jane Harvill , Clifford Hansen

In this paper, we apply the PVGIS method for estimating the performance of the first grid-connected PV micro-power plant in Morocco. PVGIS approach provides analysis and assessment of in-site solar energy resources and predicts with good…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-08-22 Abdelfettah Barhdadi , Mouncef Bennis

By the end of 2023, renewable sources cover 63.4% of the total electric power demand of Chile, and in line with the global trend, photovoltaic (PV) power shows the most dynamic increase. Although Chile's Atacama Desert is considered the…

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

Solar energy forecasting has seen tremendous growth in the last decade using historical time series collected from a weather station, such as weather variables wind speed and direction, solar radiance, and temperature. It helps in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Soham Vyas , Yuvraj Goyal , Neel Bhatt , Sanskar Bhuwania , Hardik Patel , Shakti Mishra , Brijesh Tripathi

We report a data-parsimonious machine learning model for short-term forecasting of solar irradiance. The model inputs include sky camera images that are reduced to scalar features to meet data transmission constraints. The output irradiance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Joshua Edward Hammond , Ricardo A. Lara Orozco , Michael Baldea , Brian A. Korgel

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in edge-enabled grids requires balancing forecasting accuracy, robustness under weather-driven distribution shifts, and strict latency constraints. Existing models work well under normal conditions but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Nan Qiao , Shuning Wang , Sijing Duan , Wenpeng Cui , Yuzhe Chen , Qingchen Yang , Xingyuan Hua , Ju Ren

Nowadays, with the unprecedented penetration of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs), the necessity of an efficient energy forecasting model is more demanding than before. Generally, forecasting models are trained using observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Ahmad Shokrollahi , Elham Foruzan

It is speculated that higher penetration of inverter-based distributed photo-voltaic (PV) power generators can increase the risk of tripping events due to voltage fluctuations. To quantify this risk utilities need to solve the interactive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-17 Kaveh Dehghanpour , Yuxuan Yuan , Fankun Bu , Zhaoyu Wang

Accurate short-term solar and wind power predictions play an important role in the planning and operation of power systems. However, the short-term power prediction of renewable energy has always been considered a complex regression…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-08 Wenlong Liao , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai , Zhe Yang , Kuangpu Liu

Long-term hourly time series representing the PV generation in European countries have been obtained and made available under open license. For every country, four different PV configurations, i.e. rooftop, optimum tilt, tracking, and delta…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-14 Marta Victoria , Gorm B. Andresen

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

High penetration of renewable generation in the electricity grid presents power system operators with challenges including voltage instability mainly due to fluctuating power generation. To cope with intermittent generation, community…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Khalil Gholami , Asef Nazari , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Valeh Moghaddam , Sutharshan Rajasegarar , Wei-Yu Chiu

Accurate estimation of solar irradiance is essential for reliable modelling of solar photovoltaic (PV) power production. In Ireland's highly variable maritime climate, where ground-based measurement stations are sparsely distributed,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-26 Maeve Upton , Eamonn Organ , Amanda Lenzi , James Sweeney

This paper describes a flexible approach to short term prediction of meteorological variables. In particular, we focus on the prediction of the solar irradiance one hour ahead, a task that has high practical value when optimizing solar…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Pierrick Bruneau , Philippe Pinheiro , Yoann Didry

Predicting the intensity and amount of sunlight as a function of location and time is an essential component in identifying promising locations for economical solar farming. Although weather models and irradiance data are relatively…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-25 Furong Sun , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland , Siyuan Lu , Youngdeok Hwang