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We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising from random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses excursion probability theory to formulate a sequence of Bayesian…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-08 Vishwas Rao , Romit Maulik , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

For nearly any challenging scientific problem evaluation of the likelihood is problematic if not impossible. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) allows us to employ the whole Bayesian formalism to problems where we can use simulations…

Computation · Statistics 2011-07-04 Chris Barnes , Sarah Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf , Thomas Thorne

With continued advances in Geographic Information Systems and related computational technologies, statisticians are often required to analyze very large spatial datasets. This has generated substantial interest over the last decade, already…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Lu Zhang , Abhirup Datta , Sudipto Banerjee

This article is the rejoinder for the paper "Probabilistic Integration: A Role in Statistical Computation?" to appear in Statistical Science with discussion. We would first like to thank the reviewers and many of our colleagues who helped…

Frequentist statistical methods, such as hypothesis testing, are standard practice in papers that provide benchmark comparisons. Unfortunately, these methods have often been misused, e.g., without testing for their statistical test…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 David Issa Mattos , Jan Bosch , Helena Holmström Olsson

Approximate Bayesian computation is an established and popular method for likelihood-free inference with applications in many disciplines. The effectiveness of the method depends critically on the availability of well performing summary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-23 Prashant Singh , Andreas Hellander

When partitioning workflows in realistic scenarios, the knowledge of the processing units is often vague or unknown. A naive approach to addressing this issue is to perform many controlled experiments for different workloads, each…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-11-03 Freddy C. Chua , Bernardo A. Huberman

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

Educating the next generation of scientists in statistical methodology is an important task. Educating their instructors in statistical content knowledge and pedagogical knowledge is as important and provides an indirect impact of students'…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-05-06 Mine Dogucu , Jingchen Hu , Amy H Herring

Mathematicians have traditionally been a select group of academics that produce high-impact ideas allowing substantial results in several fields of science. Throughout the past 35 years, undergraduates enrolling in mathematics or statistics…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Ariel Cintron-Arias , Ryan Nivens , Anant Godbole , Calvin B. Purvis

In their study of physics beyond the first year of University -- termed upper-division in the US, many of students' primary learning opportunities come from working long, complex back-of-the-book style problems, and from trying to develop…

Physics Education · Physics 2015-09-02 Marcos D. Caballero , Bethany R. Wilcox , Leanne Doughty , Steven J. Pollock

A key goal of empirical research in software engineering is to assess practical significance, which answers whether the observed effects of some compared treatments show a relevant difference in practice in realistic scenarios. Even though…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Richard Torkar , Carlo A. Furia , Robert Feldt , Francisco Gomes de Oliveira Neto , Lucas Gren , Per Lenberg , Neil A. Ernst

Bayesian networks are a versatile and powerful tool to model complex phenomena and the interplay of their components in a probabilistically principled way. Moving beyond the comparatively simple case of completely observed, static data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Marco Scutari

Much effort and research has been invested into understanding and bridging the gaps which many students experience in terms of contents and expectations as they begin university studies with a heavy component of mathematics, typically in…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Carl Winsløw , Niels Grønbæk

This book introduces to the theory of probabilities from the beginning. Assuming that the reader possesses the normal mathematical level acquired at the end of the secondary school, we aim to equip him with a solid basis in probability…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Gane Samb Lo , Aladji Babacar Niang , Lois Chinewendu Okereke

These notes aim at presenting an overview of Bayesian statistics, the underlying concepts and application methodology that will be useful to astronomers seeking to analyse and interpret a wide variety of data about the Universe. The level…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-09 Roberto Trotta

This article is intended as a guide for new graduate students in the field of computational science. With the increasing influx of students from diverse backgrounds joining the ever-popular field, this short guide aims to help students…

Moore introduced a method for graduate mathematics instruction that consisted primarily of individual student work on challenging proofs (Jones, 1977). Cohen (1982) described an adaptation with less explicit competition suitable for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-07-21 Nicholas Jon Horton

There is a growing need to integrate sustainability into tertiary mathematics education given the urgency of addressing global environmental challenges. This paper presents four case studies from Australian university courses that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-12 Maria Kleshnina , Matthew Holden , Ryan Heneghan , Kate Helmstedt

Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-18 Joe Marion , Liz Lorenzi , Cora Allen-Savietta , Scott Berry , Kert Viele