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We study the sequential decision-making problem of allocating a limited resource to agents that reveal their stochastic demands on arrival over a finite horizon. Our goal is to design fair allocation algorithms that exhaust the available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Parisa Hassanzadeh , Eleonora Kreacic , Sihan Zeng , Yuchen Xiao , Sumitra Ganesh

This paper investigates the problem of ensembling multiple strategies for sequential portfolios to outperform individual strategies in terms of long-term wealth. Due to the uncertainty of strategies' performances in the future market, which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Duy Khanh Lam

This paper extends the tactical asset allocation literature by incorporating regime modeling using techniques from machine learning. We propose a novel model that classifies current regimes, forecasts the distribution of future regimes, and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Dylan Sandfelder , André Fujita , Xiaowen Dong , Mihai Cucuringu

In this paper we propose a novel application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to financial asset allocation. Our approach is deeply rooted in Stochastic Portfolio Theory (SPT), a stochastic analysis framework introduced by Robert Fernholz that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-06 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Alexander Vervuurt

The present paper provides a study of high-dimensional statistical arbitrage that combines factor models with the tools from stochastic control, obtaining closed-form optimal strategies which are both interpretable and computationally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez

Attempts to allocate capital across a selection of different investments are often hampered by the fact that investors' decisions are made under limited information (no historical return data) and during an extremely limited timeframe.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-22 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Fabian Poetter , Tim Schmitz

The Heston stochastic volatility model is a standard model for valuing financial derivatives, since it can be calibrated using semi-analytical formulas and captures the most basic structure of the market for financial derivatives with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Daniel Guterding , Wolfram Boenkost

We give a complete algorithm and source code for constructing what we refer to as heterotic risk models (for equities), which combine: i) granularity of an industry classification; ii) diagonality of the principal component factor…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-26 Zura Kakushadze

Financial time series often exhibit skewness and heavy tails, making it essential to use models that incorporate these characteristics to ensure greater reliability in the results. Furthermore, allowing temporal variation in the skewness…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Bruno E. Holtz , Ricardo S. Ehlers , Adriano K. Suzuki , Francisco Louzada

We propose a two-level, learning-based portfolio method (RL-BHRP) that spreads risk across sectors and stocks, and adjusts exposures as market conditions change. Using U.S. Equities from 2012 to mid-2025, we design the model using 2012 to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Shaofeng Kang , Zeying Tian

This paper presents a distributed stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for large-scale linear systems with private and common uncertainties in a plug-and-play framework. Using the so-called scenario approach, the centralized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 V. Rostampour , T. Keviczky

This article studies a portfolio optimization problem, where the market consisting of several stocks is modeled by a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion process with age-dependent semi-Markov modulated coefficients. We study risk sensitive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana

This study develops and evaluates a deep reinforcement learning framework for dynamic portfolio allocation across global equity markets. The Soft Actor-Critic algorithm is used to learn continuous portfolio weights within a Markov Decision…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Kamil Kashif , Robert Ślepaczuk

Stochastic volatility (SV) models mimic many of the stylized facts attributed to time series of asset returns, while maintaining conceptual simplicity. The commonly made assumption of conditionally normally distributed or…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Théo Michelot , Alexander Sohn , Thomas Kneib

We consider the problem of dividing limited resources between a set of agents arriving sequentially with unknown (stochastic) utilities. Our goal is to find a fair allocation - one that is simultaneously Pareto-efficient and envy-free. When…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Sean R. Sinclair , Gauri Jain , Siddhartha Banerjee , Christina Lee Yu

Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction costs. Standard predict-then-optimize methods first forecast returns and then solve for weights,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Rahul Fernandes , Travis Desell

We consider an investor who seeks to maximize her expected utility derived from her terminal wealth relative to the maximum performance achieved over a fixed time horizon, and under a portfolio drawdown constraint, in a market with local…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Ankush Agarwal , Ronnie Sircar

This paper presents a unified multi-asset, multi-group asset-flow model that integrates three foundational frameworks from the behavioral finance literature. The model captures the dynamics of financial markets where multiple assets are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Mario Cavani

The successor representation (SR) provides a powerful framework for decoupling predictive dynamics from rewards, enabling rapid generalisation across reward configurations. However, the classical SR is limited by its inherent policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Changmin Yu , Máté Lengyel

We propose a universal end-to-end framework for portfolio optimization where asset distributions are directly obtained. The designed framework circumvents the traditional forecasting step and avoids the estimation of the covariance matrix,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-18 Chao Zhang , Zihao Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Stefan Zohren