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Related papers: Risk- and Variance-Aware Electricity Pricing

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This paper considers distribution systems with a high penetration of distributed, renewable generation and addresses the problem of incorporating the associated uncertainty into the optimal operation of these networks. Joint chance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Kyri Baker , Andrey Bernstein

The global transition to battery electric buses (EBs) presents an opportunity to reduce air and noise pollution in urban areas. However, the adoption of EBs introduces challenges related to limited driving range, extended charging times,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Léa Ricard , Guy Desaulniers , Andrea Lodi , Louis-Martin Rousseau

The variability and intermittency of renewable energy sources pose several challenges for power systems operations, including energy curtailment and price volatility. In power systems with considerable renewable sources, co-variability in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-21 Elnaz Kabir , Vivek Srikrishnan , M. Vivienne Liu , Scott Steinschneider , C. Lindsay Anderson

We propose a scenario-oriented approach for energy-reserve joint procurement and pricing for electricity market. In this model, without the empirical reserve requirements, reserve is procured according to all possible contingencies and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-23 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun

We present new formulations of the stochastic electricity market clearing problem based on the principles of stochastic programming. Previous analyses have established that the canonical stochastic programming model effectively captures the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar

We propose a generic multistage stochastic model for the Alternating Current Optimal Power Flow (AC OPF) problem for radial distribution networks, to account for the random electricity production of renewable energy sources and dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Maxime Grangereau , Wim van Ackooij , Stéphane Gaubert

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

As the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) increases, harnessing their flexibility becomes critical for power system operations. Virtual power plants (VPPs) offer a promising solution. However, most existing scheduling tools…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-30 Lorenzo Zapparoli , Paul Fäth , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

In Electricity markets, illiquidity, transaction costs and market price characteristics prevent managers to replicate exactly contracts. A residual risk is always present and the hedging strategy depends on a risk criterion chosen. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-29 Xavier Warin

We develop a stochastic equilibrium model for an electricity market with asymmetric renewable energy forecasts. In our setting, market participants optimize their profits using public information about a conditional expectation of energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

This paper proposes a novel single-level robust mathematical approach to model the RES-only Virtual Power Plant (RVPP) bidding problem in the simultaneous Day Ahead Market (DAM) and Secondary Reserve Market (SRM). The worst-case profit of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-06 Hadi Nemati , Pedro Sánchez-Martín , Ana Baringo , Álvaro Ortega

Data analytics and machine learning techniques are being rapidly adopted into the power system, including power system control as well as electricity market design. In this paper, from an adversarial machine learning point of view, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Jingshi Cui , Haoxiang Wang , Chenye Wu , Yang Yu

The increasing penetration of flexible loads, such as electric vehicles and AI data-centers necessitates new methodologies for quantifying electrical load hosting capacity under operational constraints and flexible connection agreements. We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-23 Gobinda Chandra Sarker , Nathan Dahlin

Due to market, there is flexibility in the price for power purchase by the utility. At the maximum loading condition the cost of power is high, hence conservation voltage reduction (CVR) is a useful technique in reducing power demand of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Mohammad Ostadijafari , Rahul Ranjan Jha , Anamika Dubey

The energy market, and specifically the renewable sector carries volatility and risks, similar to the financial market. Here, we leverage on a well-established, return-risk approach, commonly used by equity portfolio-managers and apply it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-07 Haim Grebel , Divya Vikas , Jim Shi

We present the closed-form solution to the problem of hedging price and quantity risks for energy retailers (ER), using financial instruments based on electricity price and weather indexes. Our model considers an ER who is intermediary in a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-18 Javier Pantoja Robayo , Juan C. Vera

Fluid antenna systems (FAS) allow dynamic reconfiguration to achieve superior diversity gains and reliability. To quantify the performance scaling of FAS with a large number of antenna ports, this paper leverages extreme value theory (EVT)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Yi Zhang , Jintao Wang , Zheng Shi , Xu Wang , Guanghua Yang , Shaodan Ma , Kai-Kit Wong

In this paper, the intra-day multi-interval rolling-window joint dispatch and pricing of energy and reserve is studied under increasing volatile and uncertain renewable generations. A look-ahead energy-reserve co-optimization model is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-09 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun

We propose a real-time nodal pricing mechanism for cost minimization and voltage control in a distribution network with autonomous distributed energy resources and analyze the resulting market using stochastic game theory. Unlike existing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Eli Brock , Jingqi Li , Javad Lavaei , Somayeh Sojoudi

High wind energy penetration critically challenges the economic dispatch of current and future power systems. Supply and demand must be balanced at every bus of the grid, while respecting transmission line ratings and accounting for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Yu Zhang , Nikolaos Gatsis , Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis
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