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Uncertainty estimation plays an important role for future reliable deployment of deep segmentation models in safety-critical scenarios such as medical applications. However, existing methods for uncertainty estimation have been limited by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Hongzheng Yang , Cheng Chen , Yueyao Chen , Markus Scheppach , Hon Chi Yip , Qi Dou

Parameters of the mathematical model describing many practical dynamical systems are prone to vary due to aging or renewal, wear and tear, as well as changes in environmental or service conditions. These variabilities will adversely affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Hang Geng , Mulugeta A. Haile , Huazhen Fang

Mixtures of Hidden Markov Models (MHMMs) are frequently used for clustering of sequential data. An important aspect of MHMMs, as of any clustering approach, is that they can be interpretable, allowing for novel insights to be gained from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Negar Safinianaini , Henrik Boström

We propose a unified class of calibration weighting methods based on weighted generalized entropy to handle missing at random (MAR) data with improved stability and efficiency. The proposed generalized entropy calibration (GEC) formulates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Yonghyun Kwon , Jae Kwang Kim , Yumou Qiu

Locomotion robots with active or passive compliance can show robustness to uncertain scenarios, which can be promising for agricultural, research and environmental industries. However, state estimation for these robots is challenging due to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Valentin Yuryev , Max Polzin , Josie Hughes

This paper investigates the problem of robust model predictive control (RMPC) of linear-time-invariant (LTI) discrete-time systems subject to structured uncertainty and bounded disturbances. Typically, the constrained RMPC problem with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-18 Anastasis Georgiou , Furqan Tahir , Imad M. Jaimoukha , Simos A. Evangelou

This paper develops the theoretical framework and the equations of a new robust Generalized Maximum-likelihood-type Unscented Kalman Filter (GM-UKF) that is able to suppress observation and innovation outliers while filtering out…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Junbo Zhao , Lamine Mili

Operating complex real-world systems, such as soft robots, can benefit from precise predictive control schemes that require accurate state and model knowledge. This knowledge is typically not available in practical settings and must be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-18 Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Max Bartholdt , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Niklas Wahlström , Thomas B. Schön , Thomas Seel

Reliability updating refers to a problem that integrates Bayesian updating technique with structural reliability analysis and cannot be directly solved by structural reliability methods (SRMs) when it involves equality information. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Xiong Xiao , Zeyu Wang , Quanwang Li

Online controlled experiments play a crucial role in enabling data-driven decisions across a wide range of companies. Variance reduction is an effective technique to improve the sensitivity of experiments, achieving higher statistical power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Hao Zhou , Kun Sun , Shaoming Li , Yangfeng Fan , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Tao Li

Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

To control a dynamical system it is essential to obtain an accurate estimate of the current system state based on uncertain sensor measurements and existing system knowledge. An optimization-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Simon Muntwiler , Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Deep learning offers promising new ways to accurately model aleatoric uncertainty in robotic state estimation systems, particularly when the uncertainty distributions do not conform to traditional assumptions of being fixed and Gaussian. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Aastha Acharya , Caleb Lee , Marissa D'Alonzo , Jared Shamwell , Nisar R. Ahmed , Rebecca Russell

We propose an algorithm to enhance certified robustness of a deep model ensemble by optimally weighting each base model. Unlike previous works on using ensembles to empirically improve robustness, our algorithm is based on optimizing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Huan Zhang , Minhao Cheng , Cho-Jui Hsieh

Continuum robots are flexible, thin manipulators capable of navigating confined or delicate environments making them well suited for surgical applications. Previous approaches to continuum robot state estimation typically rely on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-24 James M. Ferguson , Alan Kuntz , Tucker Hermans

Estimating the state of an environment from high-dimensional, multimodal, and noisy observations is a fundamental challenge in reinforcement learning (RL). Traditional approaches rely on probabilistic models to account for the uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Alfredo Reichlin , Adriano Pacciarelli , Danica Kragic , Miguel Vasco

A covariant energy density functional is calibrated using a principled Bayesian statistical framework informed by experimental binding energies and charge radii of several magic and semi-magic nuclei. The Bayesian sampling required for the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-09-28 Pablo Giuliani , Kyle Godbey , Edgard Bonilla , Frederi Viens , Jorge Piekarewicz

Randomized smoothing (RS) is an effective and scalable technique for constructing neural network classifiers that are certifiably robust to adversarial perturbations. Most RS works focus on training a good base model that boosts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Chen Chen , Kezhi Kong , Peihong Yu , Juan Luque , Tom Goldstein , Furong Huang

Ensembles of General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the primary tools for investigating climate sensitivity, projecting future climate states, and quantifying uncertainty. GCM ensembles are subject to substantial uncertainty due to model…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-29 Trevor Harris , Ryan Sriver

This paper proposes an online learning method of Gaussian process state-space model (GP-SSM). GP-SSM is a probabilistic representation learning scheme that represents unknown state transition and/or measurement models as Gaussian processes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Soon-Seo Park , Young-Jin Park , Youngjae Min , Han-Lim Choi