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Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

In distributed and federated learning, heterogeneity across data sources remains a major obstacle to effective model aggregation and convergence. We focus on feature heterogeneity and introduce energy distance as a sensitive measure for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-28 Mengchen Fan , Baocheng Geng , Roman Shterenberg , Joseph A. Casey , Zhong Chen , Keren Li

Due to the skessed distribution, high peak and thick tail and asymmetry of financial return data, it is difficult to describe the traditional distribution. In recent years, generalized autoregressive score (GAS) has been used in many fields…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-14 Hong Shaopeng

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

This article considers the statistical properties of L\'evy walks possessing a regular long-term linear scaling of the mean square displacement with time, for which the conditions of the classical Central Limit Theorem apply.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-07 Massimiliano Giona , Andrea Cairoli , Rainer Klages

In this paper, we introduce a new three-parameter distribution based on the combination of re-parametrization of the so-called EGNB2 and transmuted exponential distributions. This combination aims to modify the transmuted exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Christophe Chesneau , Hassan S. Bakouch , Muhammad Nauman Khan

The expected present value of dividends is one of the classical stability criteria in actuarial risk theory. In this context, numerous papers considered threshold (refractive) and barrier (reflective) dividend strategies. These were shown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Benjamin Avanzi , José-Luis Pérez , Bernard Wong , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

In plasmas, distribution functions often demonstrate long anisotropic tails or otherwise significant deviations from local Maxwellians. The tails, especially if they are pulled out from the bulk, pose a serious challenge for numerical…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-04-17 Eero Hirvijoki

Recent financial disasters emphasised the need to investigate the consequence associated with the tail co-movements among institutions; episodes of contagion are frequently observed and increase the probability of large losses affecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-05 Mauro Bernardi , Ghislaine Gayraud , Lea Petrella

This paper uses firm-level data recorded in the AMADEUS database to investigate the distribution of labour productivity in different European countries. We find that the upper tail of the empirical productivity distributions follows a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-01-31 C. Di Guilmi , F. Clementi , T. Di Matteo , M. Gallegati

Extreme value theory has constructed asymptotic properties of the sample maximum. This study concerns probability distribution estimation of the sample maximum. The traditional approach is parametric fitting to the limiting distribution --…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

We analyze annual revenues and earnings data for the 500 largest-revenue U.S. companies during the period 1954-2007. We find that mean year profits are proportional to mean year revenues, exception made for few anomalous years, from which…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 H. E. Roman , R. A. Siliprandi , C. Dose , C. Riccardi , M. Porto

The performance of learning models often deteriorates when deployed in out-of-sample environments. To ensure reliable deployment, we propose a stability evaluation criterion based on distributional perturbations. Conceptually, our stability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Jose Blanchet , Peng Cui , Jiajin Li , Jiashuo Liu

Maximising dividends is one classical stability criterion in actuarial risk theory. Motivated by the fact that dividends are paid periodically in real life, $\textit{periodic}$ dividend strategies were recently introduced (Albrecher, Gerber…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Hayden Lau , Bernard Wong

In the present paper, we discuss contra-arguments concerning the use of Pareto-Lev\'y distributions for modeling in Finance. It appears that such probability laws do not provide sufficient number of outliers observed in real data.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Lev B. Klebanov , Greg Temnov , Ashot V. Kakosyan

We consider last-passage percolation models in two dimensions, in which the underlying weight distribution has a heavy tail of index alpha<2. We prove scaling laws and asymptotic distributions, both for the passage times and for the shape…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , James B. Martin

This paper introduces a new two-parameter distribution, referred to as the Shiha distribution, which provides a flexible model for skewed lifetime data with either heavy or light tails. The proposed distribution is applicable to various…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 F. A. Shiha

The coefficient of variation (CV) is commonly used to measure relative dispersion. However, since it is based on the sample mean and standard deviation, outliers can adversely affect the CV. Additionally, for skewed distributions the mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Luke A. Prendergast , Robert G. Staudte

Price fluctuations in financial markets can be characterized by L\'evy's stable distribution, which is supported by the generalized central limit system. When the stable parameters were estimated from four different stock markets in long…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-21 Takumi Fukunaga , Ken Umeno
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