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This paper develops a unified framework for asymptotically minimax robust hypothesis testing under distributional uncertainty, applicable to both Bayesian and Neyman--Pearson formulations (Type-I and Type-II). Uncertainty classes based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Gökhan Gül

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Composite likelihoods are a class of alternatives to the full likelihood which are widely used in many situations in which the likelihood itself is intractable. A composite likelihood may be computed without the need to specify the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-08 Helen Ogden

In the problem of composite hypothesis testing, identifying the potential uniformly most powerful (UMP) unbiased test is of great interest. Beyond typical hypothesis settings with exponential family, it is usually challenging to prove the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

We propose an e-value based framework for testing arbitrary composite nulls against composite alternatives, when an $\epsilon$ fraction of the data can be arbitrarily corrupted. Our tests are inherently sequential, being valid at arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

We study approaches to robust model-based design of experiments in the context of maximum-likelihood estimation. These approaches provide robustification of model-based methodologies for the design of optimal experiments by accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-03 Anwesh Reddy Gottu Mukkula , Michal Mateáš , Miroslav Fikar , Radoslav Paulen

Training a deep neural network (DNN) often involves stochastic optimization, which means each run will produce a different model. Several works suggest this variability is negligible when models have the same performance, which in the case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sinjini Banerjee , Reilly Cannon , Tim Marrinan , Tony Chiang , Anand D. Sarwate

Many standard estimators such as several maximum likelihood estimators or the empirical estimator for any law-invariant convex risk measure are not (qualitatively) robust in the classical sense. However, these estimators may nevertheless…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Schied , Henryk Zähle

Many scientific applications involve testing theories that are only partially specified. This task often amounts to testing the goodness-of-fit of a candidate distribution while allowing for reasonable deviations from it. The tolerant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Lucas Kania , Tudor Manole , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

We study the problem of assessing the robustness of counterfactual explanations for deep learning models. We focus on $\textit{plausible model shifts}$ altering model parameters and propose a novel framework to reason about the robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Luca Marzari , Francesco Leofante , Ferdinando Cicalese , Alessandro Farinelli

Hypothesis testing procedures are developed to assess linear operator constraints in function-on-scalar regression when incomplete functional responses are observed. The approach enables statistical inferences about the shape and other…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yeonjoo Park , Kyunghee Han , Douglas G. Simpson

This paper considers the problem of robust hypothesis testing under non-identically distributed data. We propose Wald-type tests for both simple and composite hypothesis for independent but non-homogeneous observations based on the robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

We propose a general method for constructing hypothesis tests and confidence sets that have finite sample guarantees without regularity conditions. We refer to such procedures as "universal." The method is very simple and is based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Parametric inference posits a statistical model that is a specified family of probability distributions. Restricted inference, e.g., restricted likelihood ratio testing, attempts to exploit the structure of a statistical submodel that is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Michael W. Trosset , Carey E. Priebe

Ideally, all analyses of normally distributed data should include the full covariance information between all data points. In practice, the full covariance matrix between all data points is not always available. Either because a result was…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Lukas Koch

Existing sequential generalized estimating equation methodology for longitudinal and group-correlated data focuses on narrow hypotheses concerning treatment efficacy and often makes modeling assumptions that impede the desirable robustness…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Nathan T. Provost , Abdus S. Wahed

Many results have been proved for various nuclear norm penalized estimators of the uniform sampling matrix completion problem. However, most of these estimators are not robust: in most of the cases the quadratic loss function and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Andreas Elsener , Sara van de Geer

This paper presents a hypothesis testing method given independent samples from a number of connected populations. The method is motivated by a forestry project for monitoring change in the strength of lumber. Traditional practice has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Song Cai , Jiahua Chen , James V. Zidek

Robust classification algorithms have been developed in recent years with great success. We take advantage of this development and recast the classical two-sample test problem in the framework of classification. Based on the estimates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Haiyan Cai , Bryan Goggin , Qingtang Jiang

In hypothesis testing, the phenomenon of label noise, in which hypothesis labels are switched at random, contaminates the likelihood functions. In this paper, we develop a new method to determine the decision rule when we do not have…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Dennis Wei , Kush R. Varshney