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Conditional density estimation is complicated by multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled nonparametric framework with calibrated uncertainty, but standard GP regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Vardaan Tekriwal , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Marcus M. Noack

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) is supported by efficient sampling algorithms, a rich methodological literature, and strong theoretical grounding. However, due to their prohibitive computation and storage demands, the use of exact GPs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Kelly R. Moran , Matthew W. Wheeler

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 David Reeb , Andreas Doerr , Sebastian Gerwinn , Barbara Rakitsch

Gaussian process (GP) methods have been widely studied recently, especially for large-scale systems with big data and even more extreme cases when data is sparse. Key advantages of these methods consist in: 1) the ability to provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Chenyi Lyu , Xingchi Liu , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a flexible and statistically principled foundation for modelling spatiotemporal phenomena, but their $O(N^3)$ scaling makes them intractable for large datasets. Approximate methods such as variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Jhonathan Navott , Daniel Jenson , Seth Flaxman , Elizaveta Semenova

This work introduces the concept of parametric Gaussian processes (PGPs), which is built upon the seemingly self-contradictory idea of making Gaussian processes parametric. Parametric Gaussian processes, by construction, are designed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-08 Maziar Raissi

Deep neural networks are prone to overconfident predictions on outliers. Bayesian neural networks and deep ensembles have both been shown to mitigate this problem to some extent. In this work, we aim to combine the benefits of the two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Runa Eschenhagen , Erik Daxberger , Philipp Hennig , Agustinus Kristiadi

Gaussian processes (GPs) are instrumental in modeling spatial processes, offering precise interpolation and prediction capabilities across fields such as environmental science and biology. Recently, there has been growing interest in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Jiawen Chen , Aritra Halder , Yun Li , Sudipto Banerjee , Didong Li

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are increasingly popular as predictive models in machine learning (ML) for their non-stationary flexibility and ability to cope with abrupt regime changes in training data. Here we explore DGPs as surrogates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-27 Annie Sauer , Robert B. Gramacy , David Higdon

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer an attractive method for regression over small, structured and correlated datasets. However, their deployment is hindered by computational costs and limited guidelines on how to apply GPs beyond simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Kenza Tazi , Jihao Andreas Lin , Ross Viljoen , Alex Gardner , ST John , Hong Ge , Richard E. Turner

Deep learning is a hierarchical inference method formed by subsequent multiple layers of learning able to more efficiently describe complex relationships. In this work, Deep Gaussian Mixture Models are introduced and discussed. A Deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Cinzia Viroli , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

One obstacle to the use of Gaussian processes (GPs) in large-scale problems, and as a component in deep learning system, is the need for bespoke derivations and implementations for small variations in the model or inference. In order to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-04 Mark van der Wilk , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Artem Artemev , Vincent Adam , James Hensman

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Yuan , Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka

Neural-net-induced Gaussian process (NNGP) regression inherits both the high expressivity of deep neural networks (deep NNs) as well as the uncertainty quantification property of Gaussian processes (GPs). We generalize the current NNGP to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Guofei Pang , Liu Yang , George Em Karniadakis

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Many inferential tasks involve fitting models to observed data and predicting outcomes at new covariate values, requiring interpolation or extrapolation. Conventional methods select a single best-fitting model, discarding fits that were…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Soonhong Cho , Doeun Kim , Chad Hazlett

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a class of flexible non-parametric models that have rich representational power. By using a Gaussian process with additive structure, complex responses can be modelled whilst retaining interpretability.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Xiaoyu Lu , Alexis Boukouvalas , James Hensman

Scalable Gaussian process (GP) inference is essential for sequential decision-making tasks, yet improving GP scalability remains a challenging problem with many open avenues of research. This paper focuses on iterative GPs, where iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Alan Yufei Dong , Jihao Andreas Lin , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Gaussian Processes (GPs), as a nonparametric learning method, offer flexible modeling capabilities and calibrated uncertainty quantification for function approximations. Additionally, GPs support online learning by efficiently incorporating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zewen Yang , Dongfa Zhang , Xiaobing Dai , Fengyi Yu , Chi Zhang , Bingkun Huang , Hamid Sadeghian , Sami Haddadin
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