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Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

Stochastic geometric mechanics (SGM) is known for its potential utility in quantifying uncertainty in global climate modelling of the Earth's ocean and atmosphere while also preserving the fundamental advective transport properties of ideal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-30 Darryl D. Holm , Erwin Luesink

One of the fundamental challenges in realizing the potential of legged robots is generating plans to traverse challenging terrains. Control actions must be carefully selected so the robot will not crash or slip. The high dimensionality of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Hersh Sanghvi , Camillo Jose Taylor

We present a three-dimensional model, based on cohesive spherical particles, of rain-induced landslides. The rainwater infiltration into the soil follow the either the fractional or the fractal diffusion equations. We solve analytically the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-05 Gianluca Martelloni , Franco Bagnoli , Alessio Guarino

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

Gravity-driven flows of granular matter are involved in a wide variety of situations, ranging from industrial processes to geophysical phenomena, such as avalanches or landslides. These flows are characterized by the coexistence of solid…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-11-18 Pierre Soulard , Denis Dumont , Thomas Salez , Elie Raphael , Pascal Damman

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Robert Sisneros , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Kenneth Moreland

Flood prediction is critical for emergency planning and response to mitigate human and economic losses. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic models generate high-resolution flood maps using numerical methods requiring fine-grid…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Sun Han Neo , Sachith Seneviratne , Herath Mudiyanselage Viraj Vidura Herath , Abhishek Saha , Sanka Rasnayaka , Lucy Amanda Marshall

Stochastic computational models in the form of pure jump processes occur frequently in the description of chemical reactive processes, of ion channel dynamics, and of the spread of infections in populations. For spatially extended models,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Augustin Chevallier , Stefan Engblom

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

We study the time-dependent flow behavior of gravity-driven free surface granular flows using the discrete element method and continuum modeling. Discrete element method (DEM) simulations of slightly polydisperse disks flowing over a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-28 Satyabrata Patro , Sumit Kumar , Anubhav Majumdar , Anurag Tripathi

In autonomous driving, accurate motion prediction is crucial for safe and efficient motion planning. To ensure safety, planners require reliable uncertainty estimates of the predicted behavior of surrounding agents, yet this aspect has…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Aron Distelzweig , Andreas Look , Eitan Kosman , Faris Janjoš , Jörg Wagner , Abhinav Valada

We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

The logarithmic mean-velocity profile is a key experimental and theoretical result in wall-bounded turbulence. Similarly, here we show that the topographic surface emerging between parallel zero-elevation boundaries presents an intermediate…

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

In hydrology, modeling streamflow remains a challenging task due to the limited availability of basin characteristics information such as soil geology and geomorphology. These characteristics may be noisy due to measurement errors or may be…

Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

Dense suspensions of particles dispersed in liquids are central to industrial and geophysical processes and serve as model systems for out-of-equilibrium soft matter. At high particle concentrations, they exhibit stress-dependent rheology,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-16 Orhun Ayar , Bhargav Sriram Siddani , Ishan Srivastava , Abhinendra Singh

Strongly nonlinear flows, which commonly arise in geophysical and engineering turbulence, are characterized by persistent and intermittent energy transfer between various spatial and temporal scales. These systems are difficult to model and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Hassan Arbabi , Themistoklis Sapsis