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In this paper we propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by possibly unbounded additive disturbances and subject to probabilistic constraints. Constraints are treated in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper discusses the challenges presented by tall data problems associated with Bayesian classification (specifically binary classification) and the existing methods to handle them. Current methods include parallelizing the likelihood,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Richard D. Payne , Bani K. Mallick

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

In order to develop provably safe human-in-the-loop systems, accurate and precise models of human behavior must be developed. In the case of intelligent vehicles, one can imagine the need for predicting driver behavior to develop minimally…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-03 Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Roy Dong , S. Shankar Sastry , Ruzena Bajcsy

Demand for high-performance, robust, and safe autonomous systems has grown substantially in recent years. These objectives motivate the desire for efficient safety-theoretic reasoning that can be embedded in core decision-making tasks such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-18 Joe Marion , Liz Lorenzi , Cora Allen-Savietta , Scott Berry , Kert Viele

Computing expected predictions of discriminative models is a fundamental task in machine learning that appears in many interesting applications such as fairness, handling missing values, and data analysis. Unfortunately, computing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Pasha Khosravi , YooJung Choi , Yitao Liang , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Uncertainties from deepening penetration of renewable energy resources have posed critical challenges to the secure and reliable operations of future electric grids. Among various approaches for decision making in uncertain environments,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Xinbo Geng , Le Xie

The increasing penetration of renewable energy resources in power systems, represented as random processes, converts the traditional deterministic economic dispatch problem into a stochastic one. To solve this stochastic economic dispatch,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-23 Zhixiong Hu , Yijun Xu , Mert Korkali , Xiao Chen , Lamine Mili , Charles H. Tong

A new methodology is proposed for generating realizations of a random vector with values in a finite-dimensional Euclidean space that are statistically consistent with a data set of observations of this vector. The probability distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Christian Soize , Roger Ghanem

Data-driven Model Predictive Control (MPC), where the system model is learned from data with machine learning, has recently gained increasing interests in the control community. Gaussian Processes (GP), as a type of statistical models, are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Truong X. Nghiem

Hamilton-Jacobi reachability methods for safety-critical control have been well studied, but the safety guarantees derived rely on the accuracy of the numerical computation. Thus, it is crucial to understand and account for any inaccuracies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-15 Nikolaus Vertovec , Sina Ober-Blöbaum , Kostas Margellos

Reachability analysis is a popular method to give safety guarantees for stochastic cyber-physical systems (SCPSs) that takes in a symbolic description of the system dynamics and uses set-propagation methods to compute an overapproximation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Navid Hashemi , Lars Lindemann , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

Data-driven reachability analysis computes over-approximations of reachable sets directly from noisy data. Existing deterministic methods require either known noise bounds or system-specific structural parameters such as Lipschitz…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Yanliang Huang , Zhen Zhang , Peng Xie , Zhuoqi Zeng , Amr Alanwar

In this paper a constructive method to determine and compute probabilistic reachable and invariant sets for linear discrete-time systems, excited by a stochastic disturbance, is presented. The samples of the disturbance signal are not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-16 Mirko Fiacchini , Teodoro Alamo

We propose and discuss a new computational method for the numerical approximation of reachable sets for nonlinear control systems. It is based on the support vector machine algorithm and represents the set approximation as a sublevel set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-11 Martin Rasmussen , Janosch Rieger , Kevin Webster

Over-approximating the reachable sets of dynamical systems is a fundamental problem in safety verification and robust control synthesis. The representation of these sets is a key factor that affects the computational complexity and the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-17 Taha Entesari , Mahyar Fazlyab

For random variables produced through the inverse transform method, approximate random variables are introduced, which are produced by approximations to a distribution's inverse cumulative distribution function. These approximations are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Oliver Sheridan-Methven , Michael Giles

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin